Neven MacEwan wrote:
>
> Hey
>
> You guys are really missing the point..my prediction..within 10 years all
> software will be free
>
> Reasons
>
> 1/ The internet has opened up a huge market and a global pool of
> programmers..some who work for the love of it
many who do crap work.
many who do it to impress their hacker friends.
And it hasn't found a global pool of analysts, designers and Testers
(keen early adopters maybe, but not testers).
(apparently) bug-fixes from outside the benevelent dictatorships
are just considered change requests in source code form, to be folded
in as and when decided: as with commercial software.
> 2/ Tools to produce software are becoming better..
Yes: compare GCC/debug to D5
> 3/ Real returns on software are plummeting - more complexity - less
> return..the cost of 'protecting' your code
Really? Didn't know this. I thought that with the market now there
would be less return per item, but a tonne more items sold?
> may be higher than the return you get from selling it. My maxim..we are not
> selling software but buying future liabilities
> Therefore you have to open your code to protect it
> 4/ There are real benefits to be gained from open source
Agreed. Also though, there are many benefits to be lost (designers,
analysts, project management, testers) if every product is dumped into
the global internet Linux pool.
>
> The solution - write open source software..become the Linus of your market
> and enjoy the fruits of
> community
I would guess that many here are working as some variation of the
"out-sourced IT dept." : ie running the Database and windows
interrogation apps. Most in this situation don't own the source
anyway : I haven't yet worked for anywhere that you do (own it).
So the disadvantages of the service model of dev. would be clear to
all ("No, you don't want us to do that.", "Yes I know it's crap: we
tried to tell you that you didn't want that") and all the
clients internal squabbles over who gets to add their pet feature
to the project...
The closed proprietary source market, from where I sit, looks like a
dream. (MY product, My genius, My design, My schedule...)
>
> some products to watch for
>
> PostgreSQL - Performance and Rate of dev is frightening
> VB Script Engine - required so Linux users can get viruses
> Zope - Makes OO Web Dev easy
But ZopeNewbies site runs on (closed-proprietary) Manila
> Python - The best structured script lang
I don't think anyone would agree to pay for a language.
(compilers, ide's, debuggers, yes)
> .....
>
> TTFN
> Neven
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