Don,

I don't understand your usage of the term 'salvage.'  They are not doing 
anything to areas that have burned and are arguing that thinning existing 
forests target by this action will prevent fires in the future in this area.  
They are talking about thinning existing forest. So where does the salvage fit?

Ed

"Oh, I call myself a scientist.  I wear a white coat and probe a monkey every 
now and then, but if I put monetary gain ahead of preserving nature...I 
couldn't live with myself." - Professor Hubert Farnsworth
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Don Bertolette 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Friday, October 23, 2009 10:26 PM
  Subject: [ENTS] Re: Kaibab Plateau, AZ


  Ed
  Disturbance?????
  The fire that the sale is trying to salvage 'nuked' whole Sections (square 
miles) of open park- like yellow-barked og ponderosa pines...the goshawk 
population needs familiar hunting 'structures', not arbitrary age 
classes...it's the 3-D spatial relationships the goshawks look for and 
gravitate to...
  -don

  Sent from Don's iPhone 3GS...

  On Oct 23, 2009, at 7:02 PM, "Edward Frank" <[email protected]> wrote:


    Don,

    I am not a goshawk ecologist and can not with any good conscious choose 
between one camp and the other.  It just strikes me that if the goshawks are 
actively breeding and foraging in the forest as it exists, then cutting down 
80% of the trees in the area they have chosen to live is not likely to make 
things better.  Certainly the disturbance of the habitat will be a further 
detriment to their population.

    Ed

    "Oh, I call myself a scientist.  I wear a white coat and probe a monkey 
every now and then, but if I put monetary gain ahead of preserving nature...I 
couldn't live with myself." - Professor Hubert Farnsworth
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      From: Don Bertolette 
      To: [email protected] 
      Sent: Friday, October 23, 2009 9:51 PM
      Subject: [ENTS] Re: Kaibab Plateau, AZ


      Ed-
      I am on the road and relying on my iPhone which I am sure you cosider a 
blessing, as it forces brevity on me...;-)


      If you'll read the two opposing camps (Cole Crocker-Bedford vs. Richard 
Reid (?)) on goshawk habitat preference I think you'll find it's not so much an 
issue of diameter class sizes per se, but the forest structure and the way it 
impacts 'flyways'...a bunch of 1" to 4.9" undergrowth would not be goshawks 
preferred ground cover for preying on small animals. Where it gets more 
controversial is the upper story crown structure spatial arrangement and I must 
recommend Cole's paper/studies to you for a better understanding of 
forest/goshawk biological relationships.
      Don 

      Sent from Don's iPhone 3GS...

      On Oct 23, 2009, at 4:15 PM, "Edward Frank" <[email protected]> wrote:


        People

        Perhaps I should elaborate more with some specifics:  The items in 
plain text are quotes from the 
        http://www.fs.fed.us/r3/kai/projects/jacob-ryan/JR_EA_Revision.pdf 
document.  The italicized text in maroon are my observations.


        The uneven aged stratum (15,233 acres) have three or more size-classes, 
with a little less than half in goshawk post-fledging family areas (PFA) and 
the remaining in foraging areas (FA). Approximately 25 percent of the stands in 
the project area (6,637 acres) are even-aged as a result of past shelterwood 
seed-tree harvests.

        [This means that more than half the post fledgling family areas for the 
goshawks is in the even-aged stands in the project area]

        [various tables present the projections of the forest situations 20 and 
40 years in the future, however I should point out that the data used make the 
projections can be manipulated to produce almost any result desired]

        To increase tree vigor, improve tree growth and promote healthy trees, 
there is a need to reduce stocking to the recommended levels of about 150 trees 
per acre. The resulting stands would be more resilient to the effects of 
periodic drought, disease, insect attack, and fire.

        Replacement nest areas are identified within each PFA that does not 
have six identifiable current or historic nest areas. Within the project area 
there are approximately 3,200 acres of identified nest areas plus an additional 
1,000 acres identified as replacement nest areas. Currently, the nesting areas 
average more than 600 trees per acre and some of these trees are providing 
ladder fuels into the overstory crowns. The average tree diameter is 6 inches 
and basal area is 127 square feet per acre (Table 5). The stand density index 
averages 295 and along with the other information means that the site is fully 
occupied and competition-induced mortality is occurring. Uneven-aged sites that 
comprise the existing nest areas display similar characteristics to the 
replacement nest areas. There is a need to avoid stand-replacing wildfires to 
maintain this wildlife habitat and move the areas toward fire-adapted 
conditions. The table below shows the modeling of existing nest areas over time 
with very high tree density levels.

        The existing nest sites are currently in the self-thinning mode (tree 
mortality) of development due to competition between trees for available light, 
moisture, and nutrients. By 2033 if left untreated, the trend would be 
continued mortality and extremely slow tree growth. The forecast for average 
tree diameter increases would be less than 1.0 inch in 20 years and less than 
2.0 inches in 40 years. Those same trees under optimal less congested 
conditions should increase in diameter by 1.5 inches each decade (10 years). 
Tree mortality continues to increase through 2053 and puts these stands at risk 
from wildfire, insect attack, and disease. The probability exists that some 
kind of detrimental disturbance such as a wildfire could decimate these stands 
between now and 2053 if no corrective action takes place.

        [Nice ladder fire photo to add emotional impact to the data presented]

        [The game being played in the tables is the idea that a forest can be 
drastically thinned, without changing its official "Vegetation Structural 
Stage' as defined by the guidelines.  It is in effect saying that removing 80% 
of the trees in the area does not affect the forest because it still is in the 
same classification category]

        this project and detailed in Chapter 2 in response to the purpose and 
need described on page 4: 

        Thin and convert the even-aged stratum to uneven-aged sites in FAs 
(3,170 acres) and PFAs (3,467 acres) 

        Thin uneven-aged stratum in FAs (8,026 acres) and PFAs (7,207 acres) 

        Thin and enhance site structure in northern goshawk nest areas (3,205 
acres) and replacement nest areas (1,000 acres) 

        [This data is presented in the form of a series of tables.  If you look 
at the numbers, consider the plan for the Uneven aged foraging areas, which 
contains about half of the Post Fledgling Foraging areas:  84.4% of the trees 
1' to 4.9' in diameter will be removed, 49.9% of the trees 5" to 11.9" in 
diameter will be removed, and 9% of the trees 12' to 17.9" in diameter will be 
removed.  Similarly in the even aged stands, which hold over half of the post 
fledgling foraging area, 85.9% of the 1-4.9" trees will be removed, 66% of the 
trees 5 to 11.9" in diameter will be removed, 54.5% of the trees 12 to 17.9" 
will be removed and 63.6% of the trees 18 to 23.9" will be removed.  Also 
consider that the smaller sized trees make up a much higher percentage of the 
total tree population, so extremely high numbers of smaller trees will be 
removed.  And then tell me this will not have any adverse impact on the 
foraging behavior of the goshawks?]

        [They are also proposing thinning the nesting areas of the goshawk as 
well, which I can not see as benefiting the goshawk population]

        Edward Frank

        "Oh, I call myself a scientist.  I wear a white coat and probe a monkey 
every now and then, but if I put monetary gain ahead of preserving nature...I 
couldn't live with myself." - Professor Hubert Farnsworth
          ----- Original Message ----- 
          From: Edward Frank 
          To: [email protected] 
          Sent: Friday, October 23, 2009 5:43 PM
          Subject: [ENTS] Re: Kaibab Plateau, AZ


          Don,

          You can download the revised management plan for the project at:

          http://www.fs.fed.us/r3/kai/projects/jacob-ryan/JR_EA_Revision.pdf

          If you look at it the plan goes over and over about the need for 
thinning and other management in certain areas of the forest to reduce fire 
risk and promote goshawk habitat - although aside from arm waving drivel it is 
vague on how their plans will actually do anything that will help the goshawk 
population.  Much of the plan is based upon dangers they have projected that 
will exist in 2053.  It is an amazing coincidence that their projections of the 
dangers involved match up so well with what they originally planned to do when 
the plan was first proposed in the mid- 90's without thought of these exacting 
numerical justifications.  There is no rationale presented for doing anything 
to the old growth forest identified in the plan, yet it is to be thinned and 
harvested.  In fact many areas previously identified as old growth are now 
classified as mature or younger forests in this latest revision.  Sure looks 
like a hatchet job to me.

          Edward Frank

          "Oh, I call myself a scientist.  I wear a white coat and probe a 
monkey every now and then, but if I put monetary gain ahead of preserving 
nature...I couldn't live with myself." - Professor Hubert Farnsworth
            ----- Original Message ----- 
            From: Don Bertolette 
            To: [email protected] 
            Sent: Friday, October 23, 2009 1:02 AM
            Subject: [ENTS] Re: Kaibab Plateau, AZ



            While I am in NO way an apologist for the NKF, the forest is old, 
it  
            is habitat for the Goshawk, although there is significant 
controversy  
            between raptor experts (my last NPS supervisor/mentor was one of 
them  
            and I recommend reading papers by him, for one side of this story. 
His  
            name is Cole Crocker-Bedford. His stands against the logging of  
            goshawk habitat on the Tongass National Forest in Alaska are legion.
            I am having a senior moment trying to recall the other goshawk  
            biologist...Richard ....maybe Reid?
            Don

            Sent from Don's iPhone 3GS...

            On Oct 22, 2009, at 6:25 PM, Josh Kelly 
<[email protected]>  
            wrote:

            >
            > Lovely!
            >
            > I'm sure there is some hyperbole in the press release, but there 
is no
            > way that timber sale will be a good one.
            >
            > Josh
            >
            > On Oct 22, 9:17 pm, "Edward Frank" <[email protected]> wrote:
            >> People
            >>
            >> FYI:   Form the Center for Biological Diversity:
            >>
            >> This Tuesday, the Center for Biological Diversity sharply  
            >> criticized the U.S. Forest Service's latest take on devastating  
            >> plans to log old-growth trees in the Kaibab National Forest.  
            >> Unfortunately for the forest -- which houses the country's 
largest  
            >> breeding population of the imperiled northern goshawk -- the 
Forest  
            >> Service has issued a new environmental assessment for the  
            >> controversial Jacob Ryan timber sale, which would log 26,000 
acres  
            >> but was halted in May thanks to work by the Center and Sierra 
Club.  
            >> The new assessment drops protections for old-growth trees,  
            >> essentially stating that the Kaibab Plateau has too much old 
growth  
            >> -- so axing those irksome old, large trees will be good for 
wildlife.
            >>
            >> This marks the Forest Service's fourth attempt to move forward 
with  
            >> Jacob Ryan, and the Center will work to make sure it's the last.
            >>
            >> Edward Frank
            >>
            >> "Oh, I call myself a scientist.  I wear a white coat and probe a 
 
            >> monkey every now and then, but if I put monetary gain ahead of  
            >> preserving nature...I couldn't live with myself." - Professor  
            >> Hubert Farnsworth
            > >
            >










  

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