the fundamental question - can the Earth ever recover from the comet like 
impact of humans and be as great as it once was?

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Lee Frelich 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Sunday, October 25, 2009 11:49 AM
  Subject: [ENTS] Re: Autopoietic Forests and Forest Patch Management



  Gary, Ed:

  As Ed points the autopoietic concept and preservation concept have 
  problems in terms of defining what indirect effects of people are 
  allowed for a system to still be considered autopoietic. The indirect 
  effects that are allowed or not allowed then lead to all sorts of logic 
  problems with temporal and spatial scale as it relates to preservation.

  For example, if autopoiesis includes watching how collective DNA of the 
  species within the preserved area responds to loss of species due to 
  introduced diseases and pests, then small areas could be autopoietic, 
  but if it does not include those indirect effects, then no area is big 
  enough to be autopoietic (or to be preserved), since no size ensures the 
  absence of invasive tree diseases and pests.

  The temporal scale problem is equally large. Given many thousands or 
  millions of years, all systems will respond and adapt to non native 
  species, climate change and loss of the species that initially were 
  native. The introduction of invasive species, tree pests and diseases, 
  and global warming become a small blip in time, and all systems would be 
  autopoietic. If defined on a time scale of a few centuries, however, all 
  systems would lose autopoeisis, regardless of size, given the onslaught 
  of invasive species and global warming.

  Its always the temporal and spatial scale issues that are so difficult 
  with any new concept in ecology. It took me 2 years to work through 
  those issues for the neighborhood effect hypothesis of forest dynamics 
  before I was happy enough with the concept to publish it.

  If people are interested in preserving the last natural systems as they 
  are right now, then there is no spatial or temporal scale at which 
  autopoesis or preservation will
  work without a lot of management outside of the 'preserved' areas to 
  keep out all invasive species and stop global warming.

  Lee
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