On 3/25/15 10:11 AM, Michael Ross wrote:
Yes, the severe problem is in hot climates.  So much of Europe is not
going to see the issue.  Though some may.  Put a charged Leaf in a
garage on a rock in Greece or Spain, let it heat up good in the summer
sun and you will see some deterioration like in AZ.  Unless they have
made some improvements.

Casual speculation aside, yes, they have made ongoing improvements to the LEAF battery pack. It's worth reading this link:

http://www.mynissanleaf.com/__viewtopic.php?f=4&t=17168&__hilit=+battery+update#p374490

Five year warranty on a pack is not really very good. If you get to 5
years, do they honor it further out to 60K? No, or they would just have
a 60K warranty. So it is 5 years or less if one drives 60K.  Here in the
US 60k miles might use up $6000 in fuel on a similar size ICE car, less
if the car is efficient.

Here is Nissan's information on the battery warranty:

http://nissannews.com/en-US/nissan/usa/releases/nissan-announces-battery-replacement-program-for-leaf

It's hard to predict what a gas car's fuel cost will be over the next five years in the USA, but it's a fair guess that the price will remain volatile and trend upwards, on average. Electricity prices are generally lower, less volatile and costs generally go up more slowly. Some folks lock in a low electric cost by installing solar panels. It also helps that electric cars are more efficient than gas cars.


At ~60 miles to a charge, not much driving gets done, and a Leaf yields
a poor payback against gas prices in the US if the battery pack makes
trouble.  If I had to buy a $5500 pack and some unknown labor every 5
years that would really suck.  I expect cars to last 10+ years.

According to my understanding of Li ion cells, it is possible to select
cells, make packs and manage them for nearly unlimited life with no loss
of capacity. You have to cool them, oversize them, undercharge them, and
under discharge them.  Not many EV manufacturers on that path yet.  Here
is hoping the new testing catches on and they all wise up.

AFAIK there are two ways that lithium batteries deteriorate:
By use (cycles) and by calendar life. Managing charge levels and temperature helps optimize battery life within those limits. I haven't heard of an infinite life lithium battery, but maybe that will happen someday.

Meanwhile a roughly 24kWh battery at $6K or less for replacement (today's cost) after 5-10 years (depending on how much range you need) is about $250 per KWh, which is actually a market leading low price. The price could come down further and/or the available capacity of the pack could go up by the time a typical LEAF pack would need to be replaced.

If ROI is your primary consideration when purchasing a car then you would want to make a complete accounting, including all of the maintenance and repair expenses over whatever you consider to be the car's useful life. Plus fuel costs.

I would put battery replacement in the maintenance/repair category. There isn't much else in that category for the LEAF since it obviously doesn't require a gas car's typical engine/transmission/fuel system/exhaust system parts-fest. With regen, the LEAF doesn't even use the brake pads much.

The LEAF is widely available today, has a decent feature set, and an improved battery from at least 2013 forward. Electric vehicles offer important advantages, so I'm glad it's available along with other choices. It's the current best-selling BEV for a variety of reasons. Only you know what works for you.

Cheers,
 -Jamie


On Wed, Mar 25, 2015 at 11:34 AM, Jamie K via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org
<mailto:ev@lists.evdl.org>> wrote:


    On 3/25/15 3:03 AM, brucedp5 via EV wrote:

        % Some U.S. Leaf owners would state differently %


    Yes, but to be fair it looks like the quoted articles are about Europe.

    AFAIK the US problem was primarily in hot climates in some earlier
    models. It's been reported that the packs have been updated a few
    times since then. 2013+ LEAF packs have a better reputation.

    Failures below spec are eligible for warranty replacement.
    Replacements are with the so-called "Lizard" battery pack, which is
    reported to be more tolerant of hotter climates.

    To outright purchase a replacement pack costs $5500 with trade-in of
    the old pack, plus installation (and a necessary upgrade kit for
    earlier 2011/2012 models which would add up to about $6k total).
    Warranty is 8 years/100,000 miles against defects and 5 years/60,000
    miles against capacity loss.

    
http://www.mynissanleaf.com/__viewtopic.php?f=4&t=17168&__hilit=+battery+update#p374490
    
<http://www.mynissanleaf.com/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=17168&hilit=+battery+update#p374490>

    Cheers,
      -Jamie



        
https://3d-car-shows.com/__nissan-leaf-battery-reliably-__outperforms-cynics-critics-__and-alternatives/
        
<https://3d-car-shows.com/nissan-leaf-battery-reliably-outperforms-cynics-critics-and-alternatives/>
        NISSAN LEAF BATTERY RELIABLY OUTPERFORMS CYNICS, CRITICS AND
        ALTERNATIVES
        March 23, 2015  By Gerald Ferreira

        [image
        https://3d-car-shows.com/wp-__content/uploads/2015/03/__nissan-leaf.jpg
        <https://3d-car-shows.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/nissan-leaf.jpg>


        video
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?__v=6V1bJJwJhEg
        <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6V1bJJwJhEg>
        Nissan LEAF Battery Reliability Outperforms Cynics, Critics and
        Alternatives
        Nissan Europe  Mar 17, 2015
        - Just 0.01% of batteries have been replaced since 2010
        - More reliable than a petrol or diesel engine, according to
        industry
        averages

        § Nissan LEAF is the world’s best-selling electric car, with
        more than
        30,000 sold across Europe
        ]

           - Five years on, Nissan reports 99.99% battery success rate
        across Europe

           - More reliable than a petrol or diesel engine, according to
        industry
        averages

           - Nissan LEAF is the world’s best-selling all-electric car,
        with over
        165,000 sold globally

        Rolle, Switzerland, 19 February 2015: Five years and more than
        35,000
        European sales since the launch of its all-electric LEAF,
        proprietary data
        released by Nissan for the first time shows that 99.99 percent
        of its
        battery units remain entirely fit for purpose.

        The findings will silence naysayers who, in 2010, claimed that
        “batteries
        would need to be fully replaced after three years,” or that
        “high-mileage
        LEAFs would experience a noticeable drop in battery capacity in
        the first
        year of ownership.”

        In fact, the failure rate of the battery power unit is less than
        0.01
        percent – or just three units in total – a fraction of the
        equivalent
        industry-wide? figure for defects affecting traditional
        combustion engines.

        To prove the long-term reliability of the battery technology,
        Nissan tracked
        down a rather infamous early model, whose owner is still
        enjoying fault-free
        motoring in her LEAF three years on:

        Electric vehicle advocate and presenter of online TV channel
        Fully Charged,
        Robert Llewellyn commented: “This comes as no surprise. There
        was a lot of
        apprehension about electric technology in the beginning, but
        with sales
        climbing month-on-month I struggle to see how these myths
        continue to be
        regurgitated today.”

        The Nissan LEAF has smashed its own sales record with a 33
        percent increase
        in sales in 2014 over the previous year, taking more than a
        quarter of the
        burgeoning electric car market with 15,098 sales.

        Jean-Pierre Diernaz, Director of Electric Vehicles for Nissan in
        Europe,
        comments: “The facts speak for themselves. The rate of battery
        faults in our
        vehicles is negligible, even the most ardent critic cannot argue
        with that.

        “The battery technology is just part of our success story. With
        over 165,000
        customers globally, it’s clear that we’re not the only people
        who are
        thrilled by the success of this state-of-the-art technology.”

        With just three main components – the on-board charger, inverter
        and motor –
        the Nissan LEAF is also 40 percent cheaper to maintain compared
        to petrol or
        diesel-powered alternatives.

        The Nissan LEAF launched over four years ago in 2010, as one of
        the first
        mass-market, pure-electric vehicles. It is now the best-selling
        electric
        vehicle in history, with over 165,000 LEAF vehicles sold
        globally, more than
        35,000 of which have been sold in Europe; clocking up an
        impressive one
        billion kilometres worldwide.
        [© 3d-car-shows.com <http://3d-car-shows.com>]
        ...
        
http://www.theautochannel.com/__news/2015/03/23/127476-nissan-__leaf-battery-reliably-__outperforms-cynics-critics-__and-alternatives.html
        
<http://www.theautochannel.com/news/2015/03/23/127476-nissan-leaf-battery-reliably-outperforms-cynics-critics-and-alternatives.html>
        Nissan LEAF Battery Reliably Outperforms Cynics, Critics and
        Alternatives
        23 March 2015



        
http://www.sunderlandecho.com/__news/business/nissan-sends-__powerful-message-to-those-who-__doubt-electric-vehicles-1-__7171329
        
<http://www.sunderlandecho.com/news/business/nissan-sends-powerful-message-to-those-who-doubt-electric-vehicles-1-7171329>
        Nissan sends powerful message to those who doubt electric vehicles
        Fiona Thompson  23 March 2015

        NISSAN’S Leaf batteries have shown they go the distance after
        less than 0.01
        per cent of those installed in 35,000 cars have failed.

        Five years after the first models were built, data has shown
        99.9per cent of
        the battery units made remain fit for purpose, with just three
        breaking
        during that time.

        It is said to be a fraction of the equivalent industry-wide
        figure for
        defects affecting traditional combustion engines.

        To prove their long-term reliability, Nissan tracked down the
        owner of the
        model which appeared in Top Gear’s test drive and electric
        vehicle advocate
        and presenter of online TV channel Fully Charged, Robert
        Llewellyn, who owns
        a Leaf.

        He said: “This comes as no surprise.

        “There was a lot of apprehension about electric technology in
        the beginning,
        but with sales climbing month-on-month I struggle to see how
        these myths
        continue to be regurgitated today.”

        Nissan says the Leaf has smashed its sales record with a 33
        percent increase
        in 2014 over the previous year, taking more than a quarter of
        the market
        with 15,098 sales.

        Jean-Pierre Diernaz, director of electric vehicles for Nissan in
        Europe,
        said: “The facts speak for themselves.

        “The rate of battery faults in our vehicles is negligible, even
        the most
        ardent critic cannot argue with that.

        Nissan’s Sunderland plant produces the Qashqai, Note and Juke
        and the Leaf,
        with the production of lithium-ion batteries for electric
        vehicles starting
        in 2012.
        [© sunderlandecho.com <http://sunderlandecho.com>]



        http://www.mynissanleaf.com/__viewtopic.php?p=220120
        <http://www.mynissanleaf.com/viewtopic.php?p=220120>
        Tony Williams' updated battery capacity loss event chronology
        ...
        https://www.google.com/search?__q=leaf+electric+car+battery+__life+heat
        <https://www.google.com/search?q=leaf+electric+car+battery+life+heat>
        Leaf pack dies premature death in U.S. heat
        https://www.google.com/#q=__nissan+leaf+electric+car+__battery+life
        <https://www.google.com/#q=nissan+leaf+electric+car+battery+life>
        ...
        
http://electric-vehicle-__discussion-list.413529.n4.__nabble.com/template/__NamlServlet.jtp?macro=search___page&node=413529&query=__subject%3Aevln+subject%3Aleaf+__NOT+subject%3Are&days=0&sort=__date
        
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        Read more Leaf EVLN items on evdl




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--
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<http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/t/thomasaed125362.html>

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