On 10/14/2025 12:20 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


On Monday, October 13, 2025 at 10:28:30 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



    On 10/13/2025 5:04 AM, Alan Grayson wrote:


    On Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 11:50:58 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



        On 10/12/2025 10:18 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


        On Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 10:37:32 PM UTC-6 Brent
        Meeker wrote:

            If there's no collapse then every possible sequence of
            results is observed in some world and the relative
            counts of UP v. DOWN in the ensemble of worlds will have
            a binomial distribution.  So for a large numbers of
            trials those worlds in which UPs and DOWNs are roughly
            equal will predominate, regardless of what the Born rule
            says.  So in order that the Born rule be satisfied for
            values other than 50/50 there must be some kind of
            selective weight that enhances the number of sequences
            close to the Born rule instead of every possible
            sequence being of equal weight.  But then that is
            inconsistent with both values occuring on every trial.

            Brent


        Why does Born's rule depend on collapse of wf? AG
        Where did I say it did?

        Brent


    The greatest mathematicians tried to prove Euclid's 5th postulate
    from the other four, and failed; and the greatest physicists have
    tried to dervive Born's rule from the postulates of QM, and
    failed;, except for Brent Meeker in the latter case. You claimed
    it in the negative, by claiming that without collapse, Born's
    rule would fail in some world of the MWI. An assertion is just
    that, an assertion. Can you prove it using mathematics? AG

    Sure.  Consider a sequence of n=4 Bernoulli trials.  Let h be the
    number of heads.  Then we can make a table of the number of all
    possible sequences bc with exactly h heads and with the
    corresponding observed proportion h/n

         h       bc       h/n
        0         1        0.0
        1         4        0.25
        2         6        0.5
        3         4        0.75
        4         1        1.0

    So each possible sequence will correspond to one of Everett's
    worlds.  For example hhht and hthh belong to the fourth line h=3. 
    There are sixteen possible sequences, so there will be sixteen
    worlds and a fraction 6/16=0.3125 will exhibit a prob(h)~0.5.

    But suppose it was an unfair coin, loaded so that the probability
    of tails was 0.9.  The possible sequences are the same, but now we
    can apply the Born rule and calculate probabilities for the
    various sequences, as follows:

         h       bc       h/n     prob
        0         1        0.0      0.656
        1         4        0.25    0.292
        2         6        0.5      0.049
        3         4        0.75    0.003
        4         1        1.0      0.000

    So  most of the observers will get empirical answers that differ
    drastically from the Born rule values.  The six worlds that
    observe 0.5 will be off by a factor of 1.8.  And notice the error
    only becomes greater as longer test sequences are used.  The
    number of sequences peak more sharply around 0.5 while the the
    Born values peak more sharply around 0.9.

    Brent


Sorry, I don't quite understand your example? What has this to-do with collapse of the wf and the MWI? Where is collapse implied or not? How is Born's rule applied when the wf is discrete? AG
You wrote, "...claiming that without collapse,/Born's rule would fail in some world of the MWI/....Can you prove it using mathematics?"  So I showed that in MWI, which is without collapse, 6 out of 16 experimenters  will observe p=0.5 even in a case in which the Born rule says the likelihood of p=0.5 is 0.049.  Of course your challenge was confused since it is not Born's rule that fails. Born's rule is well supported by thousands if not millions of experiments.  Rather it is that MWI fails...unless it includes a weighting to enforce the Born rule. But as Bruce points out there is no mechanism for this.  If the experiment is done to measure the probability (with no assumption of the Born rule) then there are 16 possible sequences of four measurements and 6 of them give p=0.5 and 6/16=0.375, making p=0.5 the most likely of the four outcomes.  What this has to do with collapse of the wave function is just that the Born rule predicts the probabilities of what it will collapse to.  So (assuming MWI) there are still 6 of the 16 who see 2h and 2t but somehow those 6 experimenters have only a small weight of some kind.  Their existence is kind of wispy and not-robust.

Brent



            On 10/12/2025 6:56 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:
            Correct me if I'm mistaken, but as far as I know the wf
            has never been observed; only the observations of the
            system it represents. This being the case, in a large
            number of trials. Born's rulle will be satisfied
            regardless of which interpretation an observer affirms;
            either the MWI with no collapse of the wf, or
            Copenhagen with collapse of the wf. That is, since we
            can only observe the statistical results of an
            experiment from a this-world perspective, and we see
            that Born's rule is satisfied, so I don't see how it
            can be argued that the rule fails to be satisfied if
            the MWI is assumed. I think the same can be said about
            the other worlds assumed by the MWI, namely, that IF we
            could measure their results, the rule would likewise be
satisfied.AG --

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