There's a difference between having lots of information and making
inferences from it, and having motivations. I ask ChatGPT questions
because it knows more stuff than I do. But that doesn't mean it has
children it cares about or even its own health.
Brent
On 11/7/2025 3:45 AM, John Clark wrote:
*There's a lot of disagreement about when the singularity will happen
so I did a little research to find some quotes from people who know
the most about AI think it will happen. If they're right then Ray
Kurzweil's prediction of 2039 (recently modified from his previous
prediction of 2045) is still way too conservative. *
*==*
*_Sam Altman_,the head of OpenAI *
*
*
*“Our latest model feels smarter than me in almost every way…”*
*
*
*"In some big sense, ChatGPT is already more powerful than any human
who has ever lived. We may have already passed the point where
artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence"*
*_Dario Amodei_, the head of Anthropic:*
*
*
*“It is my guess that by 2026 or 2027, we will have A.I. systems that
are broadly better than all humans at almost all things.”*
*
*
*“Artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to be smarter than most Nobel
Prize winners before the end of this decade.”*
**
*_Elon Musk_, you may have heard of him: *
*“If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter than
the smartest human, I think it’s probably next year, within two years.”*
*
*
*“My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human
probably around the end of next year.”*
*
*
*“I always thought AI was going to be way smarter than humans and an
existential risk. And that's turning out to be true.”*
*
*
*John K Clark*
*
*
*
*
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