I've been using Github copilot agent mode recently, and I am impressed by the technology. Is it AGI? Maybe at an intern level, it does make a lot of rookie mistakes, but sometimes it sniffs out the bug and gets the solution in one pull request. Unfortunately, it doesn't compile the code, let alone running unit tests, so often it is wide of the mark, and you need to spend quite a bit of time fixing up the PR to be mergable. The latter issue ought to be fixable - hopefully Github will do that someday. And sometimes it completely misses the point, and "fixes" a non-problem unrelated to the original request. On the whole, though, it is worth the subscription cost ($10pm).
Where agentic AI shines is in Code Review - I use both Code Rabbit and Github Copilot - Code Rabbit does more thorough reviews, and genuinely picks up critical mistakes made by Copilot or myself. For the Singularity, you not only need SGI, but it also needs to be self-improving, and self-improving the hardware to switch exponential technological growth to hyperbolic. You would also need AI control of the means of production. I still think Kurzweil's 15-20 years out for the Singularity is probably closer to the mark, and that Altman overstates things, but we should be seeing additional steps on the way before the decade's out. SGI might arrive by the end of the decade. Maybe. Cheers On Fri, Nov 07, 2025 at 03:13:33PM -0800, Brent Meeker wrote: > There's a difference between having lots of information and making inferences > from it, and having motivations. I ask ChatGPT questions because it knows > more > stuff than I do. But that doesn't mean it has children it cares about or even > its own health. > > Brent > > On 11/7/2025 3:45 AM, John Clark wrote: > > There's a lot of disagreement about when the singularity will happen so I > did a little research to find some quotes from people who know the most > about AI think it will happen. If they're right then Ray Kurzweil's > prediction of 2039 (recently modified from his previous prediction of > 2045) > is still way too conservative. > == > Sam Altman, the head of OpenAI > > “Our latest model feels smarter than me in almost every way…” > > "In some big sense, ChatGPT is already more powerful than any human who > has > ever lived. We may have already passed the point where artificial > intelligence surpasses human intelligence" > > Dario Amodei, the head of Anthropic: > > “It is my guess that by 2026 or 2027, we will have A.I. systems that are > broadly better than all humans at almost all things.” > > “Artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to be smarter than most Nobel > Prize > winners before the end of this decade.” > > Elon Musk, you may have heard of him: > > “If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter than the > smartest human, I think it’s probably next year, within two years.” > > “My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human > probably > around the end of next year.” > > “I always thought AI was going to be way smarter than humans and an > existential risk. And that's turning out to be true.” > > John K Clark > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/ > everything-list/ > CAJPayv35hVbQTRPK5oBwFeii%2BwqEL--8EEfACP94OL3VsahRQQ%40mail.gmail.com. > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email > to [email protected]. > To view this discussion visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list > /98641299-0a58-4573-869d-69848aa9000d%40gmail.com. -- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr Russell Standish Phone 0425 253119 (mobile) Principal, High Performance Coders [email protected] http://www.hpcoders.com.au ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/aQ6Z3KTE8SqHe5U2%40zen.
