Günther Greindl wrote: > Thomas, > > >> MW must be some how different from the same concept in everyday >> language? In the latter "probably" just means "likely to happen" but >> if EVERYTHING happens then how can the concept make sense? I guess it >> must be two different concepts, then? >> > > I wouldn't say so. Always look at the word "probably" as referring to > uncertainty in the _epistemic state of an agent_; and not as uncertainty > what will happen in the world. Then you see that it is the same concept > in both cases. > > Cheers, > Günther > > I don't think that resolves the problem. An epistemic state is a state of knowledge, so it just pushes the problem off to the question "knowledge of what?"
Or perhaps you're thinking of "epistemic" as a state of belief. But then probabilities become purely subjective and something else is needed to relate them back to things like relative frequencies. In my view probability theory is a mathematical model and it is useful precisely because it applies (not necessarily exactly, but as a good approximation) to things. So one switches between relative frequency, propensity, and subjective interpretations in a single problem. Brent --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To post to this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
