I have little, issue, with Lazer's Green point of view. But, like you have 
stated, John, one must address certain political and tech issues to work for a 
fix. The proggies don't wish to address this for reasons that appear, to me, 
malicious. 

We'd need to be able to replace dirty energy with clean
and make sure access to clean water, air, and transportation, is guaranteed.
and get China, India, and Indonesia to cease there polluting. 
And, if their imminent ocean rise is now occurring, we'd naturally think of 
damming coast lines. 
If one wants to protect flora and fauna, the best way seems to be a rise in the 
standard of living.

This is not what is being sought, apparently. 


-----Original Message-----
From: John Clark <[email protected]>
To: everything-list <[email protected]>
Sent: Thu, Mar 13, 2014 10:52 am
Subject: Re: The situation at Fukushima appears to be deteriorating




On Tue, Mar 11, 2014 at 5:06 PM, Jesse Mazer <[email protected]> wrote:












 >>>>  because before you initiate a policy that will impoverish the world for 
 >>>> many generations and kill lots and lots and lots of people





>>> What "policies" are you talking about that would have these supposed 
>>> effects? 




>> Shut down all nuclear reactors immediately.

Stop using coal.

Stop all dam construction and dismantle the ones already built.

Stop all oil and gas fracking.

Stop using geothermal energy.

Drastically reduce oil production and place a huge tax on what little that is 
produced.

Don't Build wind farms in places where they look ugly, reduce wind currents, 
kill birds or cause noise.

Don't use insecticides.

Don't use Genetically Modified Organisms.

Don't use herbicides.

Do exactly what the European Greens say.     





> So, like a creationist 




You need a new insult, you've used that one before. 





> you're unwilling to accurately depict the beliefs of those you disagree with, 
> and instead 



 you attack a boogeyman that has sprung mostly out of your own fevered 
imagination. There may be some radical environmentalists who believe these 
things, but [...]



>From there official websites:  

"The Sierra Club opposes the licensing, construction and operation of new 
nuclearreactors utilizing the fission process"

"The Sierra Club opposes all coalbed methane extraction"

"The Sierra Club advocates the decommissioning of Glen Canyon Dam and the 
draining of Lake Powell. The Club also supports removal, breaching or 
decommissioning of many other dams, including four large but high-cost dams on 
the lower Snake River in eastern Washington."

"The Sierra Club opposes a ballot measure to add fluoride to Portland Oregon's  
drinking water."


"The Sierra Club has been very active in its opposition to the proposed LNG 
export facility in Warrenton, Oregon"

 "Greenpeace wholeheartedly opposes the coal industry"

"Greenpeace opposes the release of genetically engineered  crops and animals 
into the environment"


And of the 11 imbecilic proposals I list above which ones would the European 
Green Party oppose?   






>> There is consensus in the scientific community that things are slightly 
>> warmer now than they were a century ago, but there is most certainly NOT a 
>> consensus about how much hotter it will be a century from now, much less 
>> what to do about it or even if it's a bad thing.




 

> The study I linked to wasn't just about the fact that warming has occurred, 
> it was specifically on the question of whether the recent warming is 
> PRIMARILY CAUSED BY HUMAN ACTIVITIES,




Given that there are 7 billion large mammals of the same species on the planet 
who not only want to continue to live but to live well it would be surprising 
indeed if human activities did not have a strong effect on the environment.  
And this is not a novel development, Great Britain was once heavily forested 
and the romantic heaths and moors we see today were primarily caused by human 
activities back when Stonehenge was new.  


 



 > The sun was a few percent weaker then, but that didn't stop the Earth from 
 > being 18 degrees hotter during the Carboniferous than now,




 

> With much higher CO2 levels, of course. Do you have an alternate explanation 
> other than the greenhouse effect for *why* it was 18 degrees hotter back 
> then, if the Sun was weaker? 





There are many things I can't explain, like why the Ordovician with lots of CO2 
was so cold and the  Carboniferous with less CO2 was so hot. I would be 
surprised if the greenhouse effect did not play a part but exactly how and 
which greenhouse gas was most important I don't know. However I do know that no 
explanation is better than a bad explanation.








>>> What difference would 4-5% less incoming solar energy make?



>> I could be wrong but I would guess about 4 or 5 percent.




 

> Why would the effects be linear?




I guess you have no sense of humor.




>>> Global climate models, calibrated to today's conditions predict that [blah 
>>> blah] 



>> Well that sounds nice and glib but exactly how in the world do you 
>> "calibrate" something as astoundingly complex as the global weather machine?



 

> I'm pretty sure when they say the models can be "calibrated" to conditions of 
> today vs. the Ordivician, 




Being sure is easy, being correct is not.



> they mean that the dynamical rules of the simulation can be kept the same 
> while changing boundary conditions 



I know what "calibrate" means and we're decades if not centuries away from 
knowing enough to make such a thing  between the Ordovician and today. Making 
the weather translation from the atmospheric chemistry, continent position and 
solar energy input during the Ordovician to that of today is about as far from 
trivial as anything I can think of. However the one thing it can teach us right 
away is humility, climate is complicated. 




> that are thought to differ between eras in ways that are roughly known, like 
> solar input 


Why would the effects be linear or simple?


> and the different prehistoric arrangement of continents.




Why would the effects be linear or simple?


 



 >> Are really you so confident they did it correctly that you are quite 
 >> literally willing to stake your life on it? You'd better be because that's 
 >> what you're asking us to do.    




 

> Are you really so confident that evolutionists do the science correctly that 
> you are willing to stake your eternal soul on it?" 




Yes. I answered your question so now answer mine.



> And as I said, I don't take anything scientists say as gospel truth, I just 
> take it as a *default* that they most likely know what they're talking about 
> when discussing issues in their field, 



Scientists agree that things have gotten warmer, they don't agree on how hot 
things will get in the future or if the changes in the climate will overall be 
a good thing or a bad thing. And if it's a bad thing the only cures to the 
problem that are not worse, far worse, than the disease is instantly shouted 
down by virtually every environmentalist organization, and yet they still claim 
to be on the side of the angels.  



> If you're familiar with Bayesian reasoning, I could say that ...



You could say that because in the last 250 million years the climate has almost 
always been warmer than now it will probably be warmer sometime in the future 
too. Live with it or find a solution that doesn't cause disaster because 7 
billion people can't be kept alive, much less happy, with moonbeams and 19th 
century technology.


  John K Clark









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