On 4/5/2014 4:13 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:



On Sun, Apr 6, 2014 at 1:01 AM, meekerdb <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    On 4/5/2014 12:40 PM, LizR wrote:
    On 5 April 2014 23:30, Telmo Menezes <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

        On Sat, Apr 5, 2014 at 11:47 AM, LizR <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

            That doesn't narrow it down too much.


        Je m'accuse. I was one of them.

        My point was that conspiracy theories, in the sense of power elites 
secretly
        cooperating to further their own interests against the interests of the
        majority are not, unfortunately, unusual events in History. We know of
        countless examples of this happening in the past. I think it requires 
some
        magical thinking to assume that this type of behaviour is absent from 
our own
        times.

        I further pointed out that broadly discrediting any hypothesis that 
some elites
        might be conspiring against the common good, in broad strokes, seems to 
benefit
        precisely the ones in power. Furthermore, thanks to Snowden, we now 
have strong
        evidence of a large-scale conspiracy by western governments that I 
would not
        believe one year ago. In this case I'm referring to the secret 
implementation
        of global and total surveillance, with our tax money, by the people we 
elected,
        to spy on us, infringing on constitutions.

        I can't help but notice the very common rhetorical trick of using the 
nutty
        conspiracy theories (UFOs, the Illuminati, fake moon landing, etc.) to
        discredit the much more mundane and reasonable suspicions of elites 
abusing
        their power. The paper you cite in this thread uses that trick too.

        This broad denial of the existence of conspiracies is silly, if you 
think about
        it. The official explanation for 9/11 is a conspiracy theory: some 
religious
        arab fundamentalists conspired to create a global network of terrorist 
cells
        with the objective of attacking western civilisation. They hijacked 
planes and
        sent them into buildings and so on. If you don't believe in this 
explanation,
        you are then forced to believe in some other conspiracy.

        Of course conspiracies exist. The current denial of this quite obvious 
fact
        feels Orwellian, to be honest.

    OK, it seems likely that conspiracies exist, however it seems unlikely that 
the
    IPCC is part of one of them (I've lost track of whether you're claiming 
this or
    not, so please let me know) because the ruling interests are in favour of 
business
    as usual - i.e. there is almost certainly a conspiracy to discredit the 
science.
    The fact that they will use the idea of conspiracy theories to do this is 
indeed
    Orwellian, not to mention ironic.

    How does the paper use this trick?


    I think Telmo makes conspiracies ubiquitous by calling any kind of 
cooperative
    effort which is not publicized a "conspiracy" - like Eisenhower's 
conspiracy to
    invade France.  Legally a conspiracy is planning and preparation by two or 
more
    people to commit a crime.  So most of what rich and powerful people do to 
keep
    themselves rich and powerful at the expense of others is not legally a 
conspiracy
    because there's no crime - the rich and powerful use laws, not break them.  
But in
    common parlance a conspiracy *theory* refers to some group doing something 
nefarious
    while pretending to do something benign, and especially something contrary 
to their
    stated goals, e.g. Catholic clergy conspiring to abuse children.


Or prohibition,

That makes my point. Prohibition wasn't illegal, it was a law and it was promoted and passed by people who had openly advocated it for years - and for some good reasons. But you want to call it a conspiracy just because you disagree with it. You might as well call the civil rights act of 1963 a conspiracy.

or the implementation of anti-constitutional total surveillance,

It's not clear that collecting records of who calls overseas is unconstitutional; no court has ruled it such.

or starting wars under false pretences,

Yes, the the Iraq war was very bad - but was it a conspiracy. It wasn't secret, the neo-cons in the the Bush administration had advocated military overthrow of Sadam Hussein for years. The even had a website, Plan for a New American Century, which hosted scholarly(?) papers about the mideast and why the U.S. should make Lybia, Syria, Iraq, and Iran into western style democracies.

or using government agencies like the IRS to harass political opponents, or trying to silence journalists.

That's an invented charge. The IRS was just doing it's job screening organizations that claimed 501c status, which forbids *any* political activity.

We have compelling evidence that governments have been engaging in all of these types of conspiracy very recently, and they mach your definition.

No they don't. They match Telmo doesn't like them. I don't like some of them too, but that doesn't make the conspiracies and they certainly aren't conspiracy *theories* because they don't explain some event in terms of secret activities.


So my point is that it is not reasonable to dismiss the possibility of a conspiracy by government actors just on the grounds of it being a "conspiracy theory".

I don't dismiss the possibility. But "possibility" is a very weak standard. Possibilities tend to be at the bottom of lists by probability. It's possible that MH370 was electronic hijacked by hackers taking control of a an uninterruptible autopilot in the 777 - something I read just the other day - but it's very unlikely.

Brent

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