>> Oh, when it suits your prejudice it's OK to just count votes. You suddenly no longer need to read the papers and decide for yourself.
Eh? Why the sour face? I thought you'ld be cracking open the champagne. There's no consensus. I give you perhaps the best news in history, ever, and you're just sour about it! You're not suggesting we ought to read about the science and think for ourselves are you?! What a drag! Seriously though, how come this 97% figure is presented by climate change acceptors as a consensus about the catastrophic effect global warming will have when it isn't one? Do they even know that the figure represents just those scientist who agree climate change is happening? Do they know it doesn't reflect the amount of scientists who think the change is caused by humans? They certainly don't know that less than 50% of scientists think the effect of warming would be catastrophic otherwise that figure would enter into their discourse, or would it? I suspect the temptation to keep a bit silent about what a shocking figure like 97% really represents is overwhelming. A little white lie and so on, an economy with the truth etc. In actual fact I think all these figures are bullshit. Listening to what the scientists actually have to say is exactly what people should do, even congressmen, rather than close ones ears to everything except easily digestible and neatly misrepresentable figures. The title of this thread is really ironic. It could as well have been, "if the the science is in fact ambiguous, deflect attention to startling statistics." Date: Tue, 8 Apr 2014 10:38:07 +0200 Subject: Re: If you can't disprove the science, you can always try suing From: [email protected] To: [email protected] On Sun, Apr 6, 2014 at 6:45 AM, meekerdb <[email protected]> wrote: On 4/5/2014 4:13 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote: On Sun, Apr 6, 2014 at 1:01 AM, meekerdb <[email protected]> wrote: On 4/5/2014 12:40 PM, LizR wrote: On 5 April 2014 23:30, Telmo Menezes <[email protected]> wrote: On Sat, Apr 5, 2014 at 11:47 AM, LizR <[email protected]> wrote: That doesn't narrow it down too much. Je m'accuse. I was one of them. My point was that conspiracy theories, in the sense of power elites secretly cooperating to further their own interests against the interests of the majority are not, unfortunately, unusual events in History. We know of countless examples of this happening in the past. I think it requires some magical thinking to assume that this type of behaviour is absent from our own times. I further pointed out that broadly discrediting any hypothesis that some elites might be conspiring against the common good, in broad strokes, seems to benefit precisely the ones in power. Furthermore, thanks to Snowden, we now have strong evidence of a large-scale conspiracy by western governments that I would not believe one year ago. In this case I'm referring to the secret implementation of global and total surveillance, with our tax money, by the people we elected, to spy on us, infringing on constitutions. I can't help but notice the very common rhetorical trick of using the nutty conspiracy theories (UFOs, the Illuminati, fake moon landing, etc.) to discredit the much more mundane and reasonable suspicions of elites abusing their power. The paper you cite in this thread uses that trick too. This broad denial of the existence of conspiracies is silly, if you think about it. The official explanation for 9/11 is a conspiracy theory: some religious arab fundamentalists conspired to create a global network of terrorist cells with the objective of attacking western civilisation. They hijacked planes and sent them into buildings and so on. If you don't believe in this explanation, you are then forced to believe in some other conspiracy. Of course conspiracies exist. The current denial of this quite obvious fact feels Orwellian, to be honest. OK, it seems likely that conspiracies exist, however it seems unlikely that the IPCC is part of one of them (I've lost track of whether you're claiming this or not, so please let me know) because the ruling interests are in favour of business as usual - i.e. there is almost certainly a conspiracy to discredit the science. The fact that they will use the idea of conspiracy theories to do this is indeed Orwellian, not to mention ironic. How does the paper use this trick? I think Telmo makes conspiracies ubiquitous by calling any kind of cooperative effort which is not publicized a "conspiracy" - like Eisenhower's conspiracy to invade France. Legally a conspiracy is planning and preparation by two or more people to commit a crime. So most of what rich and powerful people do to keep themselves rich and powerful at the expense of others is not legally a conspiracy because there's no crime - the rich and powerful use laws, not break them. But in common parlance a conspiracy *theory* refers to some group doing something nefarious while pretending to do something benign, and especially something contrary to their stated goals, e.g. Catholic clergy conspiring to abuse children. Or prohibition, That makes my point. Prohibition wasn't illegal, it was a law and it was promoted and passed by people who had openly advocated it for years - and for some good reasons. But you want to call it a conspiracy just because you disagree with it. You might as well call the civil rights act of 1963 a conspiracy. The story of prohibition is much more complex than this, and the real reasons for it seem to be a mix of religious beliefs, racism, industrial lobbying and opportunity for profit. Passing laws and false pretences doesn't sound legal to me. The differences between the prohibition and the civil rights act of 64 is not just a matter of my opinion. The first is an imposition of the state on freedom of action on the private sphere, while the second is an enforcement of universally justifiable ethic behaviour in the public sphere. The other important difference is that the former increased social problems while the latter diminished them. There is most certainly a conspiracy to keep the prohibition in place, in the face of strong evidence that it does much more harm than good. Check out, for example, how David Nutt, a neuropharmacologist and professor at the Imperial College, was sacked from the UK government advisory board of drugs for publishing a scientific paper: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2009/oct/30/drugs-adviser-david-nutt-sacked or the implementation of anti-constitutional total surveillance, It's not clear that collecting records of who calls overseas is unconstitutional; no court has ruled it such. I guess you're a little outdated on the leaks. It's forgivable, because the main stream media ignores them. We now know that they do much more than collect meta data -- which is just Orwellian language by the way, meta data is just data, and it can be private and very revealing. But that doesn't matter because we now know that there have been instances of spying on american citizens without warrants and that the five eyes share information to bypass constitucional limits. This is obviously against the spirit of the law. It doesn't matter how the NSA obtains private information without a warrant, the only thing that matters is that they endeavour -- or shell I say conspire -- to obtain it. Of course we now also know about spying through web cams and the use of countless underhand tactics to compromise several major companies and security protocol committees from the inside. We know about parallel reconstruction too. And the link I shared the other day about secret service agents infiltrating social media to manipulate public opinion. Are you really comfortable with these actions? Do you believe they are legal? or starting wars under false pretences, Yes, the the Iraq war was very bad - but was it a conspiracy. It wasn't secret, the neo-cons in the the Bush administration had advocated military overthrow of Sadam Hussein for years. The even had a website, Plan for a New American Century, which hosted scholarly(?) papers about the mideast and why the U.S. should make Lybia, Syria, Iraq, and Iran into western style democracies. The president and other higher officials lied about having evidence for WMD in Iraq to obtain support for a war. Isn't that a conspiracy? or using government agencies like the IRS to harass political opponents, or trying to silence journalists. That's an invented charge. The IRS was just doing it's job screening organizations that claimed 501c status, which forbids *any* political activity. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1468-0343.00090/abstract We have compelling evidence that governments have been engaging in all of these types of conspiracy very recently, and they mach your definition. No they don't. They match Telmo doesn't like them. I don't like some of them too, but that doesn't make the conspiracies and they certainly aren't conspiracy *theories* because they don't explain some event in terms of secret activities. So my point is that it is not reasonable to dismiss the possibility of a conspiracy by government actors just on the grounds of it being a "conspiracy theory". I don't dismiss the possibility. But "possibility" is a very weak standard. Possibilities tend to be at the bottom of lists by probability. It's possible that MH370 was electronic hijacked by hackers taking control of a an uninterruptible autopilot in the 777 - something I read just the other day - but it's very unlikely. But there you're using the straw man again. I'm not stating that "conspiracies are always the most likely explanation". I am simply saying that conspiracies are not rare events, so they cannot be discarded simply on the grounds of being conspiracies. Telmo. 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