On Friday, November 7, 2014 11:18:20 AM UTC, Liz R wrote:
>
> On 7 November 2014 23:17, Peter Sas <peterj...@gmail.com <javascript:>> 
> wrote:
>
>> O.K. so here is a question to which there is perhaps an easy answer... 
>> I've been searching the net for an answer, but I can't find one... So 
>> please enlighten me!
>>
>> On this forum MWI is probably the most popular interpretation of QM. As 
>> Moravec, Bruno Marchal and Tegmark have argued, WMI implies quantum 
>> immortality. Every event that could cause my death has in the universal 
>> wave function multiple outcomes, which are all realized in different 
>> parallel worlds. In some of these worlds I die; in other worlds I survive. 
>> Subjectively I should feel myself immortal. So far so good... But now my 
>> question is: why aren't there any immortals (or at least absurdly old 
>> people) in our world?
>>
>
> Because the size of the multiverse is mind-bogglingly huge, and the 
> chances of someone surviving to be 100,200,300 etc are very very close to 
> zero. I don't know what the actual chances are, in the sense of the number 
> of branches you would need in order for one of them to contain a person who 
> lived to be, say, 200, but I suspect that it's a lot higher than 100 
> billion (roughly the number of people who have ever lived). It's probably 
> something ridiculously huge like an Avogadro of branches. Say it's 10 to 
> the 26 for the ssake of argument. Then the chances are, even given all the 
> people who've lived, that we'd still never find a Methuselah in our 
> particular branch - the chances are still around 1 in 10 to the 15 of 
> finding a Methuselah. Throw in all the animals too, and aliens, and there 
> might be one ... perhaps ... given that I probably grossly underestimated 
> the real number of branches required .... but even if we found it, it would 
> almost certainly die in the next few seconds, because the chances of 
> survival continue to drop (but never quite reach zero). So we might find a 
> 1000 year old man who would die immediately (if we were incredibly lucky).
>
> To put it another way, David Deutsch reckons that there are "Harry Potter 
> universes" in which magic appear to work through the fact that random 
> events conspire to make it appear so. This means basically the 2nd law of 
> thermodynamics has failed in such universes, repeatedly, and the chances of 
> THAT are ludicrously small, say one in 10 to the 50000 for repeated 
> failures long enough to make people believe magic works reliably. The 
> chances the NEXT spell will work is perhaps one in 10 to the 10000. So HPUs 
> cease to exist at a ridiculously high rate, but there are always some, 
> somewhere, in an infinite multiverse... but the chances of us being in one, 
> or seeing any such effect, ever, is incredibly small.
>
> We have hardly any chance of seeing *one* such event (thermodynamic 
> reversal) in our entire universe during its entire lifetime. So if you 
> consider that quantum immortality involves a breakdown of the 2nd law to 
> some extent you can see the chances are against any quantum immortal 
> existing in our particular universe anywhere on any planet at any time, and 
> if one did, it would only last for a few seconds!
>

Sure, but in the same vein as where Peter goes, photosynthesis in this 
universe always finds the most efficient path where there are many others. 
I have'n't heard an answer to that yet, that addresses significance proper. 
  We're getting preference every time. Have a go at that:O)

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