On Sat, Jan 24, 2015 at 6:15 AM, John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

>
>
> On Fri, Jan 23, 2015 at 7:48 PM, Telmo Menezes <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>>
>> >> That is incorrect.  Evolution will favor whichever strategy is better
>>> in the *SHORT* run.
>>>
>>
>> > There is a point where the antropomorphisation of evolution breaks,
>>
>
> Yes, but I'm very far from that point.
>
>  > Evolution favours nothing.
>>
>
> That is incorrect. Evolution favors getting genes into the very next 
> generation
> and Evolution favors absolutely positively NOTHING else.
>

By saying "favours" you are already attempting interpretation. The concept
of "next generation", for example, is already a higher level abstraction
over a bunch of molecules interacting. So by trying to impose a level of
abstraction at which you think it is acceptable to reason, but rejecting
other levels of abstraction, you are just arguing from authority.


>
>
>> > There are trees of organisms descending from other organisms. Sometimes
>> a mutation will create a local advantage that is maladaptive in the long
>> run.
>>
>
> That is certainly true, and because Evolution has no wisdom and has no
> long term plan that mutant gene that was successful for one generation will
> go extinct after that.
>
> > Meanwhile, another population that suffered a more subtle mutation with
>> advantages in the long run, does not suffer from resource depletion and
>> ends up enjoying the benefits of a mutation that is better in the long run.
>>
>
> And it doesn't matter one bit how wonderful that gene would be in the long
> run, if it is unsuccessful for just one generation it will go extinct. That
> would never happen if Evolution was smart, but it isn't. And if Evolution
> was smart it would see that it is a pointless arms race to increase the
> muscles in a prey animal so it could run faster and get away from predators
> and then increase the muscles in predator animals so they can run faster
> and catch the faster prey. The genes of both predator and prey would be
> better off if the muscle size was kept the same and all that energy was put
> into having more offspring, it would be the smart thing to do, it would be
> the wise thing to do, but Evolution is neither of those things.
>

"Smart" is a feature of by-products of evolution. I'm not sure what smart
evolution could mean. Maybe it would generate nothing?


>
> > The condom is one of these things. It seems like a disadvantage in the
>> short run but transforms into an advantage in the long run. Poor
>> populations that are stuck in the catholic reproductive algorithm suffer
>> from resource depletion, while condom users prosper in the long run.
>>
>
> And Evolution figured all this out 500,000 years ago did it? Don't be
> ridiculous.
>

Evolution "figured out" 500K years ago that relinquishing some control to
the brain was a good idea. The condom is a consequence of that. Nothing
ridiculous about that. I described a perfectly reasonable scenario, and how
it leads to evolution *appearing to* have foresight. You just ignored all
that, distorted what I said, and jumped straight to saying I'm being
ridiculous.

Telmo.


>
>
>> A phenotypical improvement is only possible if it can be produced by a
>> sequence of genetic mutations such that every intermediary organism is
>> viable.
>>
>
> Obviously.
>
> > This doesn't mean that every intermediary organism has to be better.
>>
>
> It doesn't have to be perfect but it does have to be equal to or better
> than the competition. And by "better" I mean the ability to get genes into
> the very next generation.
>
> > In the long term, neutral mutations + survival bias can lead to
>> something that looks like foresight.
>>
>
> Neutral mutations are not stable, there is no pressure for them to be so.
> To a creature who lives it's entire life in a dark cave a mutation in the
> gene that produces the eye is neutral, that's why cave animals have no eyes.
>
> > You talk as if evolution had a goal, but it does not.
>>
>
> It does have a goal, get genes into the very next generation, but that's
> the end of the story. You're the one who talks as if Evolution had some
> sort of  long range master plan and knew all about condoms and Catholics
> and the educational aspirations the poor have for their children and had a
> cunning way to exploit these things to it's advantage.
>
>   John K Clark
>
>
>>
>
>
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