On 12/27/2016 11:39 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
On Wed, Dec 28, 2016 at 1:09 AM, Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote:
On 12/27/2016 3:40 PM, Telmo Menezes wrote:
On Tue, Dec 27, 2016 at 7:34 PM, Brent Meeker <[email protected]>
wrote:
Although your evolution may be statistically improbable, mostly at the
biochemical level, there's no reason that the rest of the world should
show
any statistical strangeness. After all, your present existence is also
extremely improbable.
But the rest of the world does show statistical strangeness, for
example the apparent fine-tuning of the cosmological constant for life
to be possible.
Whether the CC is fine-tuned or not is far from established. Vic Stenger
noted that the holographic principle drastically reduces the vacuum degrees
of freedom and produces a CC estimate that's in the ball park.
Thanks, didn't know that.
Of course
being consistent with life could just be a self-selection effect and it
should not cause other statistics, e.g. vital statistics, to be strange.
True, but assuming the MWI, being consistent with one life becomes
increasingly specific, no?
I'm not sure what you mean. Telmo Menezes is already the result of many
specific events and hence highly improbable in a sense; but it's the
same sense in which Brent Meeker winning the lottery is highly
improbable but the probably that someone wins is 0.999... So if you
find yourself to be 300yrs old while statistics show that almost
everyone dies before reaching 110, you could take that as evidence for
MWI. But there's no reason the statistics would look strange to someone
else. They would say you look strange - an outlier. It's really no
different that observing that you are named "Telmo Menezes" and nobody
else is - so it's statistically improbable to be named "Telmo Menezes".
Brent
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