On 10/05/2017 3:38 pm, David Nyman wrote:
On 10 May 2017 5:51 a.m., "Bruce Kellett" <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    On Wednesday, May 10, 2017 at 6:40:19 AM UTC+10, Brent wrote:

        On 5/8/2017 10:16 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

        I find Barbour's idea of time capsules quite helpful here.
        Each time capsule is a self-contained conscious moment.
        There is no progression necessarily involved, so the
        computation that gives one conscious moment is complete in
        itself, and independent of other such conscious moments. (In
        Barbour's picture, these moments are points in configuration
        space that are related physically, but we do not use that
        aspect here.) In the moment, you are self-aware, and aware
        of memories that give you a concept of self. But in that
        moment there is no way that you can know whether these
        memories are veridicial or not -- they could well all be
        completely false, in which case there is no "you" that
        continues through time as a related series of experiences.
        Each experienced moment is complete in itself, and there is
        no continuation. If all you have is the moment of
        consciousness, you can go no further than this. It is all an
        illusion, and there is no physics to extract.

        Of course, this is a solipsistic conclusion, but there is
        nothing in our experience of consciousness that shows
        solipsism to be false. The "I" is the "I" of the moment,
        nothing more.

        Now consider the UD in arithmetic. It dovetails all possible
        programs -- does all possible computations -- but most
        computations have nothing to do with consciousness. If we
        use Boltzmann's thermodynamics as an illustration of the
        situation, the computations of the dovetailer represent a
        state of thermal equilibrium, a state of maximum entropy.
        The characteristic of thermal equilibrium is that every
        microstate is equally likely -- a state of complete chaos.
        Similarly, in the dovetailer, every computation is equally
        likely and there is no order whatsoever. Occasionally, in
        Boltzmann's thermal equilibrium there are fluctuations to
        states of lower entropy in which some order emerges, but
        according to the second law of thermodynamics, these always
        return to equilibrium. Similarly, in the computations of the
        dovetailer, there are occasionally computations that make
        some sort of internal sense. Some of these correspond to
        conscious moments. But, as in the thermal case, these
        rapidly return to meaningless noise. Small fluctuations to
        momentary order are overwhelmingly more likely than larger
        fluctuations to order that persists over time -- or
        computations that correspond to an extended sequence of
        (consistent) conscious states. In fact, within the
        dovetailer there are undoubtedly sequences of computations
        that correspond to the entire history of the observable
        universe, from the big bang through to the final heat death.
        But such calculations are of measure zero in the overall
        picture.

        So, if one is to take the statistics of computations that
        pass through one's instantaneous conscious state in order to
        extract meaningful physics, one will find that the
        overwhelming majority of these computations are of
        short-lived conscious moments that rapidly return to
        meaningless chaos, nothing more. The dovetailer would then
        say that no consistent physics can ever be extracted from
        the statistics over conscious moments, because these
        statistics are dominated by chaotic continuations.

        I  agree with that except I think you are not recognizing a
        drastic difference of scale.  A human conscious thought is
        something with duration, something on the order of tens of
        milliseconds.  The substitution that you say "yes, doctor"
        to, must operate at a much higher frequency.  So I conceive
        of the UD producing threads of computation consisting of many
        successive states within one "thought" and there will be
        threads in other programs being executed by the UD which are
        sufficiently similar over this sequence of states as to
        constitute the "same thought" because thoughts are classical
        level emergent things.  In Barbours metaphor this a kind of
        stream of fog.  If you take this view of thoughts having
        duration then they can overlap and form a kind of continuum.
        Bertrand Russell gives this analysis of time as a perception
        in one of his more technical papers.  But a consequence of
        this is that what picks out a "thought" from just noise is
        this persistent coherence over the duration of many
        (countably infinitely many) thread of UD computations.  This
        persistence is what constitutes physics in that consciousness
        because it must account for all interactions that are
        perceived as external and it must make them more coherent
        than just noise.  So a happy solution to the measurement
        problem would be to show, purely as a matter of arithmetic,
        that such coherent threads of significant length have high
        measure.

        Brent


    I agree that I did not pay much attention to the duration of a
    "conscious moment". I think what you say about thoughts having
    duration, and the overlap giving a sense of continuity reflects
    our own experience of consciousness, and the possibility of an
    'internal narrative' gives our sense of identity cohesion. But
    this comes from our embedding in a physical world, where there are
    clocks and an external time, with durability given by universal
    conservation laws and the like. The question is, can this be
    extracted from the UD in arithmetic?

    If we look in more detail at how the dovetailer operates, it
    executes all possible programs in a 'dovetail' fashion -- stepwise
    as it were, not by executing each program in sequence. The
    question arises as to what each step consists of -- what is
    executed before the dovetailer moves on to the next program (or
    back to previous programs)? A step could be something like a
    single assembler instruction, but that is processor dependent, and
    could involve many hundreds of individual 'gate' operations. I
    think it is probably more useful to think in terms of a basic
    Turing machine, so each step is a single Turing operation -- read
    the tape, mark or erase or move, according to the current machine
    state, and update the machine state. The trouble is that the
    machine state will then not be correct for the next step of
    another program, so we have to have some way that the TM can ready
    its necessary ready state at each step of each program. I think
    this is necessary whatever processor one imagines -- registers and
    the like must all be updated before the next program step is executed.

    But let us imagine that we have some way of solving this problem.
    It is then clear that the steps of the dovetailer are essentially
    random. The rules governing each operation in each program are
    deterministic, but, as in an ideal gas, after a sufficient period
    of operation, the sequence of steps is indistinguishable from
    random. Also, I have not specified any notion of time at this
    point. There is no time in arithmetic, so we can make do with the
    machine stepping rate as a clock, which may not have anything in
    common with a physical clock, such a thing has to emerge when we
    get some physics.

    So what might constitute a conscious moment in this random sea of
    TM operations? There is a question here that I have not seen
    clearly answered:  Does the 'program' that constitutes a conscious
    moment correspond to a consecutive sequence of dovetailer steps?
    Or does consciousness reside in one of the programs themselves --
    so that separate steps making up the conscious moment may be
    separated by an arbitrarily large number of machine steps? Given
    the random nature of the programs themselves, and the randomness
    of the sequence of machine steps, I don't think it actually makes
    any difference which picture you have in mind. For definiteness, I
    will say that whatever computation underlies consciousness is made
    up of a sequence of machine steps -- time can then be related to
    the number of elementary steps involved.

    Given the random nature of individual steps, the emergence of a
    coherent conscious moment is akin to a chance fluctuation in a gas
    (or in the state of maximum  entropy characteristic of thermal
    equilibrium). The longer the sequence of steps required to elicit
    consciousness, the less likely it is that such a fluctuation will
    occur. The vast majority of partial conscious moments will be
    fleeting chance coincidences, and more extended fluctuations will
    also rapidly dissolve into chaos.

    Given that the dovetailer in arithmetic is infinite, then anything
    of non-zero probability will occur somewhere, so there will
    undoubtedly be computational sequences that render conscious
    moments of any particular duration. And every part of those
    extended sequences will also occur, many more times, as
    fragmentary sequences. But since those fragmentary sequences
    relapse into chaos, the idea of consistent continuations of
    computations arising from the measure over these fragments seems
    somewhat illusory.

    My conclusion from this is that the prospects for deriving a
    coherent picture of consciousness in this way, much less a
    coherent physical world, is quite small. We must remember that the
    "Yes, doctor" scenario, from which the computationalist journey
    starts, takes place in a physical world -- the computer that is to
    replace your brain is a physical computer, with a physical clock
    and a coherent series of computational steps that can render a
    simulation of the brain processes at whatever level is required. I
    suspect that anything that reproduces such a computer will have
    zero measure in the UD


Like a brain would?

If I understand this cryptic comment, yes.

Bruce


David

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