On 9 May 2017 9:40 p.m., "Brent Meeker" <meeke...@verizon.net> wrote:



On 5/8/2017 10:16 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:

On 9/05/2017 1:57 am, David Nyman wrote:

On 8 May 2017 8:21 a.m., "Bruce Kellett" <bhkell...@optusnet.com.au> wrote:

On 8/05/2017 4:53 pm, David Nyman wrote:

> Both Hoyle's pigeon holes and Barbour's time capsules assume that there is
> a coherent underlying physics with regular exceptionless laws. Until you
> have something like that, you cannot define consistent continuations.
>
> But I'm afraid that's implied by assumption unless one takes the view that
> the evolution of physical states is fundamentally incomputable,
>

But I thought that that was what Bruno claimed. If one assumes physics in
one's derivation, then the circularity is vicious.


Oh dear no, that's not right at all. What is uncomputable is any
extrinsically conceived *extraction* of physics from the computational
Babel consequent on the theory. There is no possible search function for
this. That extraction then is necessarily a complex consequence of observer
selection. Post such extraction, the evolution of physical states is then
by assumption finitely computable, modulo the FPI, else computationalism
must fail as a theory of mind or of physics. At this point the objective
situation, mutatis mutandis, is essentially equivalent to Everett's
relative state assumptions.

The other point on which I must take you to task is again the question of
circularity. It's not the job of computationalism's toy model to explicate
every detail of the extraction of physics, although it's already the case
that it *predicts* the multiple continuations implicit in the wavefunction,
which is more than can be said for QM itself which merely retrodicts them
(again modulo the FPI). Given the conjunction of the assumption of
computationalism and our observation of the physical environment described
by QM, all the theory has to show at this stage is that it is not
incompatible with these data (as it would be if, say, the evolution of the
wavefunction itself were shown to be uncomputable). It should further
explicate some reasonably convincing justification for why just such a
physics might be expected to underpin the effective environment we observe.
But the *facts* of our observation of such a physics are not at issue.
There is no relevant question of circularity to deal with here.

As to the so called Occam catastrophe, as exemplified in your Boltzmann
brain scenario, potential resolution necessarily can be understood under
computationalism only from a first person perspective, as I previously
suggested to you. We need to justify, in terms of a subjective measure, why
we should indeed expect the physics we observe to emerge as the
predominating computational mechanism underlying our normally intelligible
perceptions. To do this we only need to show that "last Tuesday"
computational snippets can only reinforce, and magical or unintelligible
ones cannot interfere, with "normally intelligible" and complexly connected
continuations. A way to grasp this intuitively is in terms of something
like Hoyle's  "amnesic multiple personality" heuristic which, though as you
say it was originally based on the assumption of physics, IMO illustrates
the relevant considerations equally intuitively on computational
assumptions. In any case, the analogy of a multitasking OS that I also
mentioned suffices equally well in this regard.

>From this perspective, no amount of white noise in continuations of
"Boltzmann" computations could make a substantive subjective difference.
The reason being that the consequence is overwhelmingly​ likely to be a
total subjective unintelligibility which will plausibly tend to be utterly
swamped, in the struggle of forgetting and remembering, by "normally
intelligible" continuations. The FPI is, obviously, the relevant
consideration in this regard. This is what I meant​ when I said that an
absence of evidence for this sort of pathology or unintelligibility is not
evidence of its absence​. It suffices that these out of phase components of
experience be swamped in the battle for what one might term personal
subjective emergence. They just typically get forgotten far more frequently
than they get remembered by Hoyle's multiply solipsistic agent. Hence what
we may think of as pathological scenarios would be expected to be very poor
and haphazard candidates in the ongoing struggle for apparently persistent,
pervasive and lawful subjective emergence. What would emerge with these
characteristics would then be consistently remembered histories underpinned
by a robust and reiterative physical mechanism whose highly selective
observation by us would then be the final evidence of its predomination in
this epic personal struggle.

I gave you an illustration a few days ago (on which you didn't comment) of
what one might term the "psycho-theological" aspect of computationalism. I
said that consciousness or first person subjectivity was really a pointless
cherry on the cake of physics whose mechanism must be assumed to proceed
without any a priori need of such a baroque supernumerary assumption.
Indeed it can only be an a posteriori datum tacked on to the physical
scheme of things. Computationalism, by contrast, can only be understood in
the final analysis as a synthesis of all possible subjective personal
histories. "Point of view" is then just what prevents them from all
happening at once. Thus physics, under the same assumptions, can in turn be
understood finally as the successful computational generator underlying the
"dreams of the machines".

David


I find most of what you say here very much a matter of wishful thinking,
and not entirely consistent at that. Let me come at it in a different way.

I find Barbour's idea of time capsules quite helpful here. Each time
capsule is a self-contained conscious moment. There is no progression
necessarily involved, so the computation that gives one conscious moment is
complete in itself, and independent of other such conscious moments. (In
Barbour's picture, these moments are points in configuration space that are
related physically, but we do not use that aspect here.) In the moment, you
are self-aware, and aware of memories that give you a concept of self. But
in that moment there is no way that you can know whether these memories are
veridicial or not -- they could well all be completely false, in which case
there is no "you" that continues through time as a related series of
experiences. Each experienced moment is complete in itself, and there is no
continuation. If all you have is the moment of consciousness, you can go no
further than this. It is all an illusion, and there is no physics to
extract.

Of course, this is a solipsistic conclusion, but there is nothing in our
experience of consciousness that shows solipsism to be false. The "I" is
the "I" of the moment, nothing more.

Now consider the UD in arithmetic. It dovetails all possible programs --
does all possible computations -- but most computations have nothing to do
with consciousness. If we use Boltzmann's thermodynamics as an illustration
of the situation, the computations of the dovetailer represent a state of
thermal equilibrium, a state of maximum entropy. The characteristic of
thermal equilibrium is that every microstate is equally likely -- a state
of complete chaos. Similarly, in the dovetailer, every computation is
equally likely and there is no order whatsoever. Occasionally, in
Boltzmann's thermal equilibrium there are fluctuations to states of lower
entropy in which some order emerges, but according to the second law of
thermodynamics, these always return to equilibrium. Similarly, in the
computations of the dovetailer, there are occasionally computations that
make some sort of internal sense. Some of these correspond to conscious
moments. But, as in the thermal case, these rapidly return to meaningless
noise. Small fluctuations to momentary order are overwhelmingly more likely
than larger fluctuations to order that persists over time -- or
computations that correspond to an extended sequence of (consistent)
conscious states. In fact, within the dovetailer there are undoubtedly
sequences of computations that correspond to the entire history of the
observable universe, from the big bang through to the final heat death. But
such calculations are of measure zero in the overall picture.

So, if one is to take the statistics of computations that pass through
one's instantaneous conscious state in order to extract meaningful physics,
one will find that the overwhelming majority of these computations are of
short-lived conscious moments that rapidly return to meaningless chaos,
nothing more. The dovetailer would then say that no consistent physics can
ever be extracted from the statistics over conscious moments, because these
statistics are dominated by chaotic continuations.


I  agree with that except I think you are not recognizing a drastic
difference of scale.  A human conscious thought is something with duration,
something on the order of tens of milliseconds.  The substitution that you
say "yes, doctor" to, must operate at a much higher frequency.  So I
conceive of the UD producing threads of computation consisting of many
successive states within one "thought" and there will be threads in other
programs being executed by the UD which are sufficiently similar over this
sequence of states as to constitute the "same thought" because thoughts are
classical level emergent things.  In Barbours metaphor this a kind of
stream of fog.  If you take this view of thoughts having duration then they
can overlap and form a kind of continuum.  Bertrand Russell gives this
analysis of time as a perception in one of his more technical papers.  But
a consequence of this is that what picks out a "thought" from just noise is
this persistent coherence over the duration of many (countably infinitely
many) thread of UD computations.  This persistence is what constitutes
physics in that consciousness because it must account for all interactions
that are perceived as external and it must make them more coherent than
just noise.  So a happy solution to the measurement problem would be to
show, purely as a matter of arithmetic, that such coherent threads of
significant length have high measure.


This is very helpful Brent. I particularly appreciate your phrasing of "This
persistence is what constitutes physics in that consciousness because it
must account for all interactions that are perceived as external". ISTM
that this essentially concurs with Bruno's definition of physics (or as you
say externally perceived actions) as a 1p plural phenomenon, which I tend
to equate with a Hoylean or Barbourous multiple-solipsism  So physics here
is represented by highly robust and consistent appearances (as indeed it
must be for us to observe it) and the computations that underpin them bear
somewhat of an analogous relation to those appearances as, say, the
mechanism of a TV might bear to the images it displays.

As to the question of measure, I wonder what you think, if anything, about
my rather hand-wavy analogy with the path integral idea. I don't know if it
makes any sense at all, but I was thinking that random fluctuations outside
the scope of the coherent threads of significant length you describe would
tend to either duplicate finite segments, represent pathologies that would,
in the net, cancel out (get forgotten and lapse into irrelevance in my
solipsistic amnesiac analogy) or just degrade into noise. IOW insofar as
these random components were "in phase" they would cohere and insofar as
they were "out of phase" they would dissipate. So the persistent threads
would become a sort of pathway of least effort for coherent histories such
as our own and hence they would tend to predominate in the effective
measure battle for personal subjective emergence.

I'm groping a bit more here, but another analogy that occurred to me was
this. Suppose you are at a very noisy party where almost everyone is
literally babbling random gibberish. However there is one person standing
very close to you who is speaking very clearly, compellingly and coherently
and hence rivetting your attention. Occasionally, random words or phrases
drift in from the babble that mirror something he is saying and you
unconsciously incorporate them into his fascinating narrative. At odd
moments something else is half overheard that might seem fleetingly at odds
with what your compelling orator is now saying but so powerfully and
convincingly does he continue to rivet your attention that you immediately
forget what you had briefly overhead and it leaves no imprint on you. For
the most part however the background to this uniquely powerful narrative is
mere noise.

As an extra freebie I'm also reminded of how concentrating on counting
basketball passes leads to failure to either perceive or recall the
otherwise ostentatious presence of a man in a gorilla suit. Anyway, that's
probably more than enough hand waving from Taormina for the moment. The
full moon is shining on the placid Mediterranean and a cooling cocktail
beckons.

David


Brent



That does not necessarily mean that no consistent physics exists -- as I
said, all of physics will be in the computations of the dovetailer
somewhere. All it means is that such physics cannot be extracted by
considering individual conscious moments as primary. Physics has to have an
independent existence, or it has no existence at all, and solipsism is the
only answer.

Bruce
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