On Mon, Sep 23, 2019 at 5:51 AM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Mon, Sep 23, 2019 at 6:31 AM Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> *> if you think that Carroll’s got it right, you do accept step 3, (as
>> Carroll accept it, according to Jason) *
>
>
> If Jason thinks Carroll accepts it then Jason is full of shit. And I've
> read Carroll's book, you haven't. You two should actually read the book,
> then we'll talk.
>
>
I guess you never clicked the link I provided at the start of this thread.
I'll transcribe it for those who can't access the video:

Sean Carroll:

So Isaac Newton came up with the rules of classical mechanics in the 1600s,
but it wasn't until Laplace around the year 1800 that this implication of
classical mechanics was realized.
It's a clockwork universe.  That the way classical mechanics works is if
you tell me the state of a system right now at one moment by which in
classical mechanics you would mean the position and the velocity of every
part, and you knew the laws of physics and you had arbitrarily large
computational capacity,
Laplace said of vast intelligence okay then to that vast intelligence the
past and future would be as determined and known as the present was because
that's the clockwork universe is deterministic everything is fixed once you
know the present moment.

Now quantum mechanics comes along and throws a spanner into the works a
little bit if you're a many-worlds person Laplace is demon is still
possible.
So if you know the wave function of the universe exactly and you have
infinite calculational capacity you could predict the past and the future
with perfect accuracy.
But! what you're predicting is all of the branches of the wavefunction so
any individual person inside the wavefunction still experiences apparently
random events.

Right, so *you can't predict what will happen to you even if you can
predict what will happen to the entire universe*.


This is the essence of Step 3 of the UDA.  In an experiment involving
duplication of persons, apparent randomness emerges.  There is no actual
randomness in the complete system, but individual experiences will have the
characteristic of randomness, in the sense of not being able to make
definite predictions concerning their experiences.  Sean Carroll gets
this.  Max Tegmark gets this.  You got it at least once 6 years ago on this
list when you agreed that a forking computer process containing AIs could
not predict which process they would end up in.  This is enough for you to
proceed to the next step, which adds only a time delay to one of the
duplicates.  You are almost there.

Jason

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