On Tuesday, June 9, 2020 at 10:25:41 AM UTC-6, Philip Thrift wrote:
>
>
>
> On Monday, June 8, 2020 at 5:42:36 PM UTC-5, Brent wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On 6/8/2020 2:24 PM, Philip Thrift wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On Monday, June 8, 2020 at 2:32:26 PM UTC-5, Brent wrote: 
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/7/2020 11:21 PM, Philip Thrift wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Sunday, June 7, 2020 at 10:00:46 AM UTC-5, Alan Grayson wrote: 
>>>>
>>>> It predicts everything, so it predicts nothing. AG
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2020/05/predictions-are-overrated.html
>>>  :
>>>
>>> Predictions are overrated 
>>>
>>> <https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Mw6w74p3ZYk/XrA-FY5otOI/AAAAAAAAFMU/WiQ7KPBKkekS-DQDW09BgFF_-J92CfS3QCLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/fortune-teller-2.jpeg>
>>>  
>>>
>>>
>>> She writes, "If I have a scientific theory, it is either a good 
>>> description of nature, or it is not."  But that is just avoiding the 
>>> question, which is how do we tell a theory that is a good description from 
>>> a theory that is a bad description.  Popper says making wrong predicitons 
>>> means the theory is bad.  He didn't say making correct predictions make a 
>>> theory good...although Hossenfelder's made-up counter examples pretend that 
>>> he did. 
>>>
>>> Obviously there are other criteria for a good theory: Consilience with 
>>> other good theories.  Broad scope of application.  Precise and unambiguous 
>>> predictions.   Clarity and ease of comprehension.   Hossenfelder advocates 
>>> "explanatory power" as a better critereon.  I think the preceding are what 
>>> constitute explantory power in the scientific sense.  Without that 
>>> qualification things like "God did it" or "It's all simulated inside 
>>> arithmetic" have perfect explanatory power.
>>>
>>> Brent
>>>
>>
>>
>> It's not clear, but a point she has made before is that although general 
>> relativity has a bunch of "confirmation" success, it is (literally) "wrong" 
>> (for very small stuff anyway), and quantum mechanics, which also  has 
>> "confirmation" successes, is is incomplete. So both are ultimately failed 
>> theories. 
>>
>>
>> I think that's strange meaning of "failed".  90% of (very successful) 
>> engineering is based on Newton and Maxwell.  We will never *know *we 
>> have an ultimately successful theory even if we do have it.  
>>
>> Brent
>>
>>
>> Physicists who leap from the the "success" of the mathematics in the 
>> theories to claims about what physical stuff really is are clueless (in her 
>> view).
>>
>> But as Jim Baggott has said (in a tweet), she is a sloppy writer.
>>
>> @philipthrift
>>
>>
> *All descriptions of reality are inadequate, Feyerabend said. "You think 
> that this one-day fly, this little bit of nothing, a human being--according 
> to today's cosmology!--can figure it all out? This to me seems so crazy! It 
> cannot possibly be true! What they figured out is one particular response 
> to their actions, and this response gives this universe, and the reality 
> that is behind this is laughing! 'Ha ha! They think they have found me 
> out!'"*
>
>
> https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/was-philosopher-paul-feyerabend-really-science-s-worst-enemy/
>
> @philipthrift 
>

This guy's a "philosopher"? He's just a jerk and you shouldn't waste our 
time with this total crap! AG 

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