This is an appeal to some sort of imperative that demands the Born Rule 
because the counterfactual lack this certainty. This is a sort of "It must 
be true" type of argument. 

LC

On Thursday, April 7, 2022 at 5:06:08 PM UTC-5 [email protected] wrote:

> Hello Everything. I have a proposal for a common-sense justification of 
> the Born Rule for QM. The idea was motivated with the Many-World 
> Interpretations in mind, but it also works for QM-with-collapse, if that is 
> ever found to be true.
>
> It would be great if you respond with any comment, objection, 
> contribution, or question. Or you can direct me to another discussion forum.
>
> My current draft of the Introduction is at the following link (to save 
> "bandwidth"):
>
> https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CE_qkit5PnS-rzKKmlOoDReBJVN1T0kA/view?usp=sharing
>
> To give you an idea, I paste here just the Abstract and the first 
> subsection of the Introduction.
>
> ~~~~
>
> An argument for workability of QM leads to the Born Rule, for QM without 
> collapse and for QM with collapse
>
> George Kahrimanis [, ...]
> 6 April 2022, incomplete work
>
> ABSTRACT
> Any interpretation of QM without collapse (a.k.a. a MWI) crucially needs 
> to produce (not assume) an Everettian analogue of the Born Rule, 
> indispensable not only in practical decisions but also for testing a 
> theory. Related proposals have been controversial. The proposal introduced 
> here is based on an argument for workability of QM and on the old notion of 
> Moral Certainty (formulated by Jean Gerson, cited by Descartes and many 
> others). There are consequences for the foundations of decision theory 
> because chance is undefined for any single outcome, so that Maximisation of 
> Expected Utility is meaningless as a fundamental rational rule, therefore a 
> different decision theory is needed.
>
> 1- INTRODUCTION
>
> 1.1- Comparison with other derivations of the Born Rule, either in MWI or 
> with collapse
>
> The present study is based on an assessment (not an assumption, strictly 
> speaking) regarding workability of QM (its usability and testability); that 
> is, an argument for workability is presented and the assessment is up to 
> the reader. It avoids a tacit assumption of certain derivations in MWI, 
> developments of the one by [Deutsch 1999], declaring the utility of a bet 
> as a single value, rather than a pair (corresponding to a buying value and 
> a selling value) or an interval -- however, an Everettian agent may well be 
> unwilling to admit a single value, in view of the diversity of outcomes in 
> branching futures. Despite this disagreement, we share an essential common 
> trait: we address the problem outside of pure epistemology, by studying how 
> QM can be a guide to practical applications. Another difference is that the 
> present study is based solely on the status of QM as a workable theory, but 
> Deutsch's derivation also introduces claims about rational behaviour (with 
> which I agree, except for the one mentioned above).
>
> Other derivations not assuming collapse (for example, Zurek's), 
> nonetheless invoke the concept of probability in the interpretation, on the 
> basis of various arguments [Vaidman 2020]. In contrast, the present study 
> adopts a restriction: probability proper will be considered only for 
> outcomes of a randomising process. (It is not enough to know that a black 
> box contains just ten black and ten white balls, or that there are only 
> four aces in a deck of fifty two cards: the cards must be shuffled and the 
> balls stirred, with specifications tailored to the game.) In a single-world 
> interpretation assuming collapse, randomisation is a required assumption 
> (albeit derided as "God plays dice") so that we may legitimately speak of 
> probability; in a MWI though, randomisation makes no sense. Therefore the 
> present study does not invoke a ready concept of probability; it rather 
> discovers what quantum-mechanical quasi-probability is (and what it is 
> not). The results are relevant also to the interpretation of non-QM 
> probability, regardless if it may be ultimately based on QM.
>
> There are derivations of the Born Rule assuming collapse with 
> randomisation, along with some special assumption. (The first such 
> derivation was Gleason's theorem, assuming "non-contextuality" of 
> measurements; for references, see [Vaidman 2020] and [Masanes, Galley, 
> Müller].) These special assumptions are deemed more plausible than assuming 
> the Born Rule directly, because they are qualitative properties rather than 
> quantitative ones; nonetheless any special assumption needs justification, 
> whether on experimental grounds or by some theoretic argument. The present 
> study shows that we can replace both randomisation and the additional 
> special assumption by workability. So the Born Rule is derived from 
> workability alone, whether we assume collapse or not.
>
> 1.2- About Moral Certainty
>
> [...]
>
>

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