To me, this thing is a 50% coin toss. I don't trust the partisan propaganda of the two main parties, and I don't trust the betting markets, which are still too small to be impermeable to manipulation. So I think either of the two main candidates could win, by a small or a big margin. Who wins will be known soon enough, though if the margin is small then the losers will say that the winners have stolen the elections. So I won't waste too much time thinking about this, please write to me in a few weeks and tell me who won.
On Tue, Oct 22, 2024 at 2:28 PM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote: > > Election Betting Odds says Trump has a 60% chance of winning, I hate to say > it but I think that's about right. The polls say it's dead even but in 2020 > Trump did better than the polls said he would, and in 2016 he did MUCH > better, probably because Trump fans are embarrassed to admit that they are > going to vote for Trump. I'd be embarrassed too if I was going to vote for > Trump. I think the same thing is gonna happen this time, and I sure hope I'm > wrong. > > Election Betting Odds > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > ebo > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv1iUh2iA7BsxWEEQdaZ-y%3DE5vMc4dtrQM%3DmSVcWoX0LvQ%40mail.gmail.com. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAKTCJycg4HspC5EyAk3BzzVgNiA2o%2B%3DdSYPD%3DzG_c%2Bo2w-NF7g%40mail.gmail.com.
