Shifting the poles to a tie or even a narrow Trump lead, would increase
the turnout on the D side, which would be contrary to Thiel's declared
interest. Of course I think Trump is contrary to Thiel's actual
interests. Isn't he gay?
Brent
On 10/25/2024 4:42 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Fri, Oct 25, 2024 at 3:24 AM Alan Grayson <[email protected]>
wrote:
On Tuesday, October 22, 2024 at 6:28:52 AM UTC-6 John Clark wrote:
*Election Betting Oddssays Trump has a 60% chance of winning,
I hate to say it but I think that's about right. The polls say
it's dead even but in 2020 Trump did better than the polls
said he would, and in 2016 he did MUCH better, probably
because Trump fans are embarrassed to admit that they are
going to vote for Trump. I'd be embarrassed too if I was going
to vote for Trump. I think the same thing is gonna happen this
time, and I sure hope I'm wrong. *
*
*
*Election Betting Odds* <https://electionbettingodds.com/>
*>///Democrats are generally nervous because Kamala has, if you
believe the polls, lost ground to Trump since her initial surge. I
am among the nervous D's. However, I take some comfort in the fact
that more women are registered to vote than men, and it's hard for
me to believe that they won't strongly tend to deny POTUS status
to Trump, given the abortion issue. AG /*
*About those those betting odds, I found out something new today, the
odds may have been manipulated. In today's New York Times I read this: *
"Mr. Trump’s apparent lead may be an illusion. The odds on Polymarket
began favoring him this month after just four accounts, with user
names like Fredi9999 and PrincessCaro, bet more than $30 million on a
Trump victory, according to an analysis of transaction records by
Chaos Labs, a crypto data provider. Polymarket said on Thursday that
all four accounts were controlled by one person, whom it described as
a French national with a financial services background, without
revealing the person’s identity.
The election betting has placed enormous scrutiny on Polymarket, a
start-up based in New York that allows people to wager crypto on
everything from sports to Taylor Swift’s romantic prospects. The
start-up, which is backed by an investment firm of the conservative
tech mogul Peter Thiel, a strong Trump supporter.The bets that
bolstered Mr. Trump’s odds have raised alarms that Polymarket could be
vulnerable to manipulation. The trader who placed the wagers might
have been “/willing to take the losses in order to change public
perceptions/,” said Rajiv Sethi, an economics professor at Barnard
College. “/And possibly have an effect on things like donations and
morale and volunteer support and turnout/.”"
*John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>*
*
*
dtt
--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
Groups "Everything List" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
an email to [email protected].
To view this discussion visit
https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAJPayv1mpNnACdfkhibmS6GLMutFS32mMXUQ_Gb4YXEsYqnVcA%40mail.gmail.com
<https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAJPayv1mpNnACdfkhibmS6GLMutFS32mMXUQ_Gb4YXEsYqnVcA%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>.
--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
"Everything List" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email
to [email protected].
To view this discussion visit
https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/7e8dfb9b-010a-4ff7-8060-5edd35fbf54f%40gmail.com.
