On 10/25/2024 7:30 AM, Giulio Prisco wrote:
To me, this thing is a 50% coin toss. I don't trust the partisan
propaganda of the two main parties, and I don't trust the betting
markets, which are still too small to be impermeable to manipulation.
So I think either of the two main candidates could win, by a small or
a big margin. Who wins will be known soon enough, though if the margin
is small then the losers will say that the winners have stolen the
elections.
If Trump loses the Republicans will say the election has been
stolen...regardless of the margin.
Brent
So I won't waste too much time thinking about this, please
write to me in a few weeks and tell me who won.
On Tue, Oct 22, 2024 at 2:28 PM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:
Election Betting Odds says Trump has a 60% chance of winning, I hate to say it
but I think that's about right. The polls say it's dead even but in 2020 Trump
did better than the polls said he would, and in 2016 he did MUCH better,
probably because Trump fans are embarrassed to admit that they are going to
vote for Trump. I'd be embarrassed too if I was going to vote for Trump. I
think the same thing is gonna happen this time, and I sure hope I'm wrong.
Election Betting Odds
John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis
ebo
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