On 2/24/2025 1:07 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
Brent,

The issue is precisely that if you start with only unitary evolution and no additional assumptions, you don’t get probabilities at all—just a deterministic wavefunction. That’s why the Born rule must be explained rather than assumed. The problem is not that MWI contradicts the Born rule, but that it needs to derive it without assuming it.

Your argument boils down to saying, "The Born rule is empirically confirmed, so MWI must explicitly postulate it."
No, you leave out the point that the Born rule can't be derived from just the Schroedinger equation.  As Bruce as explained repeatedly, MWI alone provides no mechanism for changing the sequences generated by measurements.  You are of course free to postulate a probability measure based on the wave-function amplitudes...which is assuming the Born rule.  It's what everybody did for 40yrs before Everett wrote his paper and which everybody has continued doing sense.


But any interpretation of QM, including single-world ones, requires some justification for why the squared amplitude determines probability. If MWI needs additional reasoning to get there, that’s an open question, not a refutation.
What if you can't get there from bare MWI?  Many have tried and failed.  Why not just accept that it's a probabilistic rule that needs to be added to the interpretation.  Gleason's theorem shows that there's no other way to apply a probabilistic measure if there are more than two possible results.  Although  Gleason's theorem is independent of choice of basis, so there's still the preferred basis problem; which we hope decoherence can solve but I don't think anyone has shown it yet.



You say that different values of a and b still produce the same sequences, but What you’re missing is that in MWI, observer instances are not evenly distributed across all sequences—this is fundamental to Everett’s relative state interpretation. If all sequences contributed equally, there would be no need for measure at all, and MWI would have been dismissed from the start. Everett’s entire motivation was to account for probability within a deterministic framework, meaning your argument misrepresents what MWI actually proposes. The number of observer instances experiencing each sequence scales with the amplitude squared
But that doesn't follow from the measurements which just produce one branch for every possible result.  It only follows from assuming the branches have a probability measure equal to the square modulus of the amplitude, aka the Born rule.  The concept of "observer instances" and their "experiences" is a fantasy.  The number of observers of a particular result can be anything once the result in recorded.

Brent

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