--- In [email protected], "salyavin808" <fintlewoodlewix@...> wrote:
>
> --- In [email protected], Shain McVay <shainm307@> wrote:
> >
> > Whoever wrote that never truly did their research. I mean when they did the 
> > Washington DC study, they had a whole bunch of skeptics in with them making 
> > sure the study was conducted correctly. When they did the study not only 
> > did all the skeptics agree to all the ways the study was conducted, but 
> > also they agreed to the findings of the study. The Maharishi people weren't 
> > the only one's directing and analyzing the study. The findings of just 
> > this one study are overwhelming in presenting that the Maharishi Effect is 
> > true. Now they've done the studies over 90 times and they've found the same 
> > thing happen everytime - the crime rate goes down.\
> 
> If it's overwhelming how come no-one believes it? It looks like
> a bunch of unconvincing statistics to me, and even if it had
> dropped by 20% the crime rates fluctuate by that much all the 
> time, if you can't tell if they're there or not it isn't of much 
> use!

If you think about it a moment, you'll realize your claim
doesn't make much sense. Non-TM-related crime rate studies
are published all the time, so obviously there are ways to
distinguish normal fluctuations from changes that are the
result of specific factors (reduced crime due to higher
numbers of police, e.g.).
 
"Looks like a bunch of unconvincing statistics to me" 
seems to me roughly equivalent in its rigor to the
dismissal of Heinz Pagels's statements about consciousness
and QM on the grounds that a lot of discoveries in QM have
been made since he made the statements.

> And the Lebanon study was worse as one of the WPAs took place
> in Holland and they still claimed it as proof!

If you're referring to the study published in the Journal
of Conflict Resolution, I believe you're mistaken. There 
was only one extended WPA involved, and it took place in
Jerusalem.

 If this effect
> travels via a field the effect would be dramatically reduced
> by the time got to lebanon - it wasn't so it makes me wonder
> what they think they were testing.

Again, this is incorrect. All the meditators were in
Jerusalem.

 My memory of the war isn't
> one of conflict seperated by periods of calm so again, if you
> can't tell they are there.....

Another statement not exactly distinguished by its
rigor.

You might want to take a look at the abstract of the
study:

http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/174032?uid=3739864&uid=2&uid=4&uid=3739256&sid=56192438703

http://tinyurl.com/d4xxcqv

It was not predicted that the WPA would result in
salyavin remembering that there were periods of
conflict alternating with periods of calm in
Lebanon during the study period (August and September
1983).

> How would it work anyway? Terms like "creating coherence in
> collective consciousness" don't actually make a whole lot
> of sense, what is the mechanism that can make people do
> something different at a distance without them realising?

This is a reasonable question. But the study results
seemed to indicate there must be such a mechanism, even
if we don't know what it is yet.

> At the very best the washington study is like tossing a coin
> and getting five heads in a row, impressive but if you do it 
> 100 times it evens itself out.

I forget what the p-values for the DC study were, but
they were calculated on the basis of the results to
be much less than a 1-in-100 chance of the same results
occurring.

> All paranormal research has
> done this the IA course has been running for years in tandem
> with huge groups of meditators and the yagya programme, can 
> anyone honestly say things have got better in the last 5 years?
> And don't give me any "phase transition" crap, if that was a 
> part of the theory why didn't it happen in Washington?

Over eight weeks??

The fact is that the ME theory is fundamentally unfalsifiable.
It can in principle be shown to exist (as the DC and Lebanon
results suggested) but not *not* to exist. For example, with
the Iowa course, we cannot know whether things would have been
far worse if the course were not taking place.

(You can always postulate that things would have been *better*
rather than worse without the course, but then you'd have to
acknowledge that there *is an effect*, just the reverse of
the one the TM folks claim.)


> Case not proved.


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