--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, anony_sleuth_ff <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "shempmcgurk" <shempmcgurk@> > wrote: > > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, anony_sleuth_ff <no_reply@> > > wrote: > > > > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "authfriend" <jstein@> wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > And I think there is *some*. The most glaring evidence > > > > that something funny was going on is what happened on > > > > the stock market in the days before the attack. I > > > > haven't seen anybody even attempt to make a case that > > > > that was benign. > > > > > > From the Loose Change video, their argument was that trading in > > > Boeing options volume was 2x,3x and 5x or something some days or > > weeks > > > prior to 9/11. In itself, that means nothing. Stock or option > > volume > > > can vary widely -- on any number of factors -- including quite > > mundane > > > and benign ones. Look to the Force Luke (and Judy) -- aka the > > > statistics 101 class you took years ago. > > > > > > How many standard deviations from the mean was the event(s)? The > > above > > > numbers could have been 1 SD -- quite frequent, or a six-sigma > > event > > > --- very, very rare. Present the statistics (Yahoo Finance may > > have), > > > then make a case. > > > > > > For fun I might look up the data and see. I bet it was an event > > > happening once every 3-12 months, or 1-4 times a year or more. > > > > > > And why focus only on Boeing? If the market as a whole dumped after > > > 9/11 (after market reopenened in 3-4 days, as I recall. Why not > > just > > > short the S&P 500 or buy puts options on the S&P 500. That would be > > > much harder to see and trace anomolies due to volume. > > > > > > > > > Fortunately, the good people at Yahoo! Finance lets you see the > > historical trading volume and prices for any given stock. > > > > For Boeing from August 1, 2001 to September 11, 2001, here is the > > daily volume and closing prices of the stock (hey, I got to do > > another tiny url!): > > > > http://tinyurl.com/ncl7l > > > > One can take any stock and do similar research for it. > > > > So I fully expect Judy-Petooty to roll up her sleeves and back up > > the nutty statement she made in a previous post regarding that this > > is where the key evidence is to be found. > > > > Get to work, Judy! > > I think the video referred to Boeing OPTIONS not stock.
I haven't looked yet, but I think one can research historical options prices on Yahoo! also. If not I'm sure there is a record somewhere of it. > The volume > options is usually more volatile than stocks. But even the stock, in > July, had 4:1 spikes in volume. Not so unusual. And I am sure the > options volume fluctuated more. Supporting Shemps point, and my point > in adjacent post. A 4:1 spike means nothing by itself. One needs to > see how many standard deviations from the mean that is. Or some other > appropriate statistical test -- e.g., a regression line of options > volume, and deviations from it. > > Which supports the point I made in an adjacent post. > ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Join modern day disciples reach the disfigured and poor with hope and healing http://us.click.yahoo.com/lMct6A/Vp3LAA/i1hLAA/UlWolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
