On 8/13/03 3:46 AM, "Tim Lambert" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> http://timlambert.org/2003/08#0811
>
> Lott (along with Eli Lehrer) has an editorial in the Washington Times
> which claims that the 1976 gun ban caused crime to increase.
>
>   D.C. residents need more protection: Crime has risen significantly
>   since the gun ban went into effect. In the five years before
>   Washington's ban in 1976, the murder rate fell from 37 to 27 per
>   100,000. In the five years after it went into effect, the murder
>   rate rose back up to 35. In fact, the murder rate after 1976 has
>   never fallen back to what it was in 1976. Robberies and overall
>   violent crime changed just as dramatically. Robberies fell from
>   1,514 to 1,003 per 100,000 and then rose by over 63 percent, up to
>   1,635.

 Whoever is correct, there is no published
> support for Lehrer and Lott's claim that the law caused crime
> increases.

The full article is here:

http://washingtontimes.com/op-ed/20030810-103927-3346r.htm

I read it to see if they really did claim a causal connection between the
gun ban and the crime rate changes. I don't see that they did. Certainly the
paragraph you quote above says nothing about causation. Setting aside, for
the moment, questions about whether the numbers are accurate and fair, the
authors simply don't say that whatever the crime rate changes were occurred
because of the gun ban.

They *do* explicitly claim that the ban caused no reduction in crimes, but
they never say that it caused an *increase* in crime, as you twice assert
that they do.

Your credibility as a critic diminishes when you misstate the work you are
criticizing.




--
Bob Woolley
St. Paul, MN
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


No man's life, liberty, or property are safe while the legislature
is in session.

      --Mark Twain

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