As far as I can tell, Russ meant AFAICT to mean "as far as I can tell."
But yeah, I also thought of the duck first.  Same thing happened when
someone once tried to tell me what a millard is.

-Ted

On Sat, Jun 13, 2009 at 12:42 AM, Nicholas Thompson <
[email protected]> wrote:

> Russell
>
> AFAICT.?  My first thought was that it was an insurance company whose
> mascott is a duck.  I think you dont mean that.
>
> I think of the anthropic principle about the same way I think of the
> "planetary" principle.  It is true that the planets we see today are those
> that have been selected for orbits that have not yet either spun out or
> fallen in.  Yet, I am hard pressed to think of the present arrangement of
> the planets as a cultmination of anything.  The culmination, if there is
> one,  comes when the sun explodes and we all return to the fire from which
> we came.
>
> But I probably mispeak.  To be honest, the anthropic principle is the sort
> of idea that makes me uneasy, so I have probably have always shielded
> myself from it and never looked at it straight.
>
> As SS would say:  I am not a wise man.
>
> N
>
>
>
>
>
> Nicholas S. Thompson
> Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
> Clark University ([email protected])
> http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/
>
>
>
>
> > [Original Message]
> > From: russell standish <[email protected]>
> > To: <[email protected]>; The Friday Morning Applied Complexity
> Coffee Group <[email protected]>
> > Date: 6/13/2009 5:50:45 PM
> > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] quick question
> >
> > On Fri, Jun 12, 2009 at 02:23:03PM -0600, Nicholas Thompson wrote:
> > >
> > > RS-->""Bedau defines it as emergence with downward causation. For
> example, we would say
> > > that consciousness is strongly emergent if we felt that we could
> > > consciously influence the activities of our neurons, rather than
> > > simply our consciousness simply being the result of neuronal activity.
> > >
> > > I'm not sure this notion has any use in discussions other than
> > > consciousness, and even there the notion of epiphenomenalism would say
> > > that it is void concept."<--RS
> > >
> > > OK.  We all seem to agree that strong emergence is a reach.
> >
> > Actually, I'm not as dismissive of it as Bedau is. In particular, I
> > see that application of the anthropic principle in a multiverse causes
> > the sort of "strange loop" that Hofstadter talks about, and this is
> > characteristic of downward causation. Nevertheless, I do concede this
> > is rather airy-fairy speculation, so I don't insist.
> >
> > > But once we have given up on strong emergence, do we need supervenience
> for anything?  I cannot shake the intuition that the whole reason for
> "supervenience"  is to defend consciousness against determinism, and this
> has always seemed to me a religious, as opposed to a scientific, project.
> >
> > Supervenience is just a denial of the soul, AFAICT. And yes, it is
> > important, in the sense that without it, the anthropic principle
> > cannot work in a multiverse, and we would suffer the Occam collapse
> > (which we clearly don't). If you've read my book, I talk about this
> > stuff there.
> >
> > >
> > > Thanks for your help and patience,
> > >
> > > Have you both read the Kim and the Wimsatt articles in the same volume?
>
> > >
> >
> > No - I don't have the volume. Sorry.
> >
> > > Nick
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Nicholas S. Thompson
> > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
> > > Clark University ([email protected])
> > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: Russ Abbott
> > > To: [email protected];The Friday Morning Applied Complexity
> Coffee Group
> > > Cc: Russell Standish
> > > Sent: 6/12/2009 12:33:26 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] quick question
> > >
> > >
> > > Hi Nick,
> > >
> > > See below.
> > >
> > > -- Russ
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > On Thu, Jun 11, 2009 at 9:48 PM, Nicholas Thompson
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> > >
> > > Russell,
> > >
> > > So, is it Bedau and Philllips you have at hand?  I am hoping to get
> some of
> > > my colleagues in Santa Fe to read that with me next fall.
> > >
> > > It's Bedau and Humphreys.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > If that is the source you are using, I also had Bedau's contribution to
> > > this volume in mind when I made the comment below.
> > >
> > > I am going to key in some short passages below so we can go over them
> > > together.
> > >
> > > He writes that [strong] emergent properties are supervenient properties
> > > with irreducible causal powers"...some of which are "macro-to-micro"
> > > effects[,] termed "downward causation".
> > >
> > > Supervenience means, as i understand it, that while each member of some
> > > enumerable list of microstates is sufficient for the occurence of the
> > > emergent macrostate, no one of those states is necessary for its
> occurence.
> > > So in practice one can have many different micro states that can bring
> > > about the macrostate, but no change in the macrostate without some
> change
> > > in a microstate.
> > >
> > > The necessary and sufficient part isn't part of the definition of
> "supervenient." The definition is simply your last clause: no change in the
> macrostate without some change in a microstate.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Downward causation means, as I understand it, that some macrostates are
> > > sufficient for some microstates. This brings about the loopiness that
> some
> > > of the authors in the book regard as inspired and others regard as
> vicious.
> > > [Some will argue that if a microstate  is sufficient for A macrostate
> and
> > > that macrostate is sufficient for a microstate then the macrostate
> drops
> > > out of the equasion and we need simply point out that the first
> microstate
> > > is sufficient for the second. }
> > >
> > > Bedau then writes:  "Such [macro] causal powers cannot be explained in
> > > terms of the aggregationof the micro-level potentialities; they are
> > > primtive or "brute" natural powers that arise inexplilcably withthe
> > > existence of certain macro-level entitites."
> > >
> > > Which led to my comment that they are, by definition, inexplicable.
> > >
> > > I understand downward causation to refer to a new causal power. An
> example might be dark energy. It causes changes in the universe even though
> there are no micro explanations for it. If it operates only at cosmological
> scales (and not just because it is weak at other scales, but it simply
> doesn't exist at other scales) then it exhibits downward causation. Another
> example is vitalism, were it true. It would say that there are new causal
> powers at the biological level that simply come into existence at that
> level and are not explicable in terms of lower level forces.
> > >
> > >
> > > Bedau goes on to write, "All the evidence today suggests that strong
> > > emergence is scientifically irrelevant." and goes on to argue that no
> > > essentially examples exist.  In othere words, strong emergence is
> possible,
> > > it just has never been observed.  This seems a very strange resolution
> of
> > > the argument, since it seems to define emergence in terms of our
> inablity
> > > to explain something, rather than in terms of some measurable property
> of
> > > the thing itself.  This seems very close to the "surprise" argument
> that
> > > Bedau rejects in the early pages of the same article.
> > >
> > >
> > > His argument is really a rejection of vitalism. No one wants to be a
> defender of vitalism, which is the rejected poster boy of downward
> causation.
> > >
> > > I've never seen anyone talk about dark energy in this context. It might
> be a more respectable candidate for downward causation. But it's not likely
> -- in my opinion. It's conceivable that dark energy is a new force of
> nature and that it's different from the other known forces -- gravity,
> electromagnetic, strong, and weak.But even if that were the case, if it
> could be shown to exist at all scales -- or perhaps like time and gravity
> -- to be simply a part of the structure of the universe, it wouldn't
> qualify as downward causation. Downward causation requires that the new
> force pop into existence when and only when some macro condition holds but
> not as a consequence of the micro conditions that make it up.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > More on this tomorrow, I hope.
> > >
> > > Nick
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > Nicholas S. Thompson
> > > Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Ethology,
> > > Clark University ([email protected])
> > > http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > > [Original Message]
> > > > From: russell standish <[email protected]>
> > > > To: <[email protected]>; The Friday Morning Applied
> Complexity
> > > Coffee Group <[email protected]>
> > > > Date: 6/12/2009 3:17:44 PM
> > > > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] quick question
> > > >
> > > > On Thu, Jun 11, 2009 at 07:01:38PM -0600, Nicholas Thompson wrote:
> > > > > Steve,
> > > > >
> > > > > My understanding of the meaning of "strong" emergence is
> "inexplicable
> > > > > emergence".
> > > > >
> > > > > Is there another meaning?
> > > > >
> > > > > N
> > > >
> > > > Bedau defines it as emergence with downward causation. For example,
> we
> > > would say
> > > > that consciousness is strongly emergent if we felt that we could
> > > > consciously influence the activities of our neurons, rather than
> > > > simply our consciousness simply being the result of neuronal
> activity.
> > > >
> > > > I'm not sure this notion has any use in discussions other than
> > > > consciousness, and even there the notion of epiphenomenalism would
> say
> > > > that it is void concept.
> > > >
> > > > Cheers
> > > >
> > > > --
> > > >
> > > >
> > >
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > > > Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> > > > Mathematics
> > > > UNSW SYDNEY 2052                       [email protected]
> > > > Australia                                http://www.hpcoders.com.au
> > > >
> > >
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > ============================================================
> > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> > > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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> > > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> > > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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> > --
> >
> >
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> > Mathematics
> > UNSW SYDNEY 2052                       [email protected]
> > Australia                                http://www.hpcoders.com.au
> >
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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