a) no b) no
--- Frank C. Wimberly 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505 505 670-9918 Santa Fe, NM On Mon, Nov 4, 2024, 11:56 AM glen <[email protected]> wrote: > Both Kalshi <https://kalshi.com/markets/pres/presidential-elections> and > PolyMarket <https://polymarket.com/elections> skew heavily for Trump. I'm > like ... 51% confident that Harris will win (barring legal shenanigans). I > figured I'd go ahead and participate. So I bought $50 worth of Harris > "yes". And I've heard that there may be some rich people manipulating the > market. It's not clear to me why they'd do that. But like Musk buying > Twitter, it's clear that "disposable" income takes on a deeper meaning when > you've got so much of it. But barring market manipulation: a) do y'all > think the markets have more "information", whatever that means, than the > polls? And b) are y'all participating in any of these markets? > > -- > ꙮ Mɥǝu ǝlǝdɥɐuʇs ɟᴉƃɥʇ' ʇɥǝ ƃɹɐss snɟɟǝɹs˙ ꙮ > > .- .-.. .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. / > ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-.. > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe / Thursdays 9a-12p Zoom > https://bit.ly/virtualfriam > to (un)subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > archives: 5/2017 thru present > https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/ > 1/2003 thru 6/2021 http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/ >
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