----- Original Message -----
From: Dennis Paull <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Professor Erlich may have been wrong in his time table for the
>beginning of global shortages of food, energy and other
>resources, but the gist of his message is still valid.
I can't find the reference, but Ehrlich was presented an award by
a scientific body for helping to avoid his scenario. In other words,
his book "scared" people into changing their behavior.
Here is what he says about the issue:
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The Population Bomb starts with these words: "The battle to feed all of
humanity is over. In the 1970s the world will undergo famines -- hundreds of
millions of people are going to starve to death in spite of any crash
programs embarked upon now." In fact, some 250 million people, about as many
as now live in the United States, have perished for lack of food since those
words were written. Roughly 100 to 140 million of them died in the 1970s.
But because the famines of the 1970s were less catastrophic than we
predicted, we've probably been criticized more for the "battle is over"
statement than any other. Our response is that partly because of The
Population Bomb and similar warnings by food specialists, global programs to
improve food distribution were initiated and emergency systems set up to
feed famine victims. Those programs were largely successful in heading off
the massive famines we had thought would occur during that decade.[ p. 74,
BETRAYAL OF SCIENCE AND REASON, P & A Ehrlich; Island Press, 1996 ]
Jay
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