> I defined cull as "natural selection".

As I said, this cop-out doesn't help either.  Your bet of yesterday is:

> If you find any statement by me indicating certainty about anything
> except the finite life span of life forms, I'll donate $500 to the
> charity of your choice.

The finite life span of life forms is trivial (dying of old age), but
Natural Selection is something else: the selective PREMATURE death and/or
different degree of procreation of individuals who are "unfit" according
to nature's criteria.

In modern civilized society, "Natural Selection" is practically abolished
and as far as selection still happens at all, nature's criteria have been
replaced by man-made criteria.  (That's why almost everyone wears glasses
and we are ruled by fat guys who wouldn't survive a week in the wilderness
-- think of Dick Cheney who had 5 bypass surgeries and shot his lawyer
instead of a bird.)

Even if the excessive collective eco-footprint would "naturally" cause
failed harvests and "natural" disasters that kill millions or even billions
of humans, it still would NOT be Natural Selection, because the man-made
criteria would still prevail, i.e. the fat old billionaire with 5 bypass
surgeries could still survive due to his money while millions of poor but
"naturally fit" people die.  Basically, this is the concept of "the coming
cull" if we scrape off the PR.  It isn't really about _Natural_ Selection,
because humans do the selecting -- and pretty "unfit" humans at that.
(_Natural_ Selection may apply among some outcasts thrown into the wilderness
-- but that's pretty irrelevant in the big picture.)

Causing wars, famines and diseases is not Natural Selection either -- it's
mass murder.  All of these measures also privilege the rich -- especially
those who profit from these measures!  The large Predators would have
enough money, power and knowledge to reverse the global course -- towards
sustainable technology, global peace, prosperity and health, but they
choose the opposite direction, due to selfish motives.  Culling the
unprofitable masses leaves a bigger part of the enviro cake for the rich.
They don't care about consuming the ecosystem as long as they do it
themselves or as long as it fills their pockets (SUV sales etc.).

You made statements indicating certainty about "Natural Selection" in human
society, not the finite life span of life forms, so you lost yesterday's bet
and owe $500 to charity.


>> Btw, nukes are another example of MAN-MADE -- as opposed to natural forces.
>
> If you can evidence anything that is not natural (supernatural) The
> James Randi Foundation has $US 1 million on offer.

A few lines later, you confirm that you did understand the difference
between man-made and natural:

> If anyone exerts the force to expose someone
> to high risk of death, (s)he is held responsible for the act. If a human
> uses nukes, the human causes the deaths.

That was my point: The human causes the deaths!  Not the natural forces
cause the death.

And to use nukes as a tool of "natural selection", with enough population
reduction to make a durable difference, would require such a massive use
of nukes as to cause a global nuclear winter that would destroy most of
the biosphere and cause maximum suffering both for the ultimate survivors
and for the majority that would literally die hard.  So anyone who would
perpetrate this could NOT claim to be an environmentalist or even to
minimize human suffering -- on the contrary.


> A cull is a selection, not an extinction. There will be coming selection
> for humans.

So here's your CERTAINTY again:  "There WILL be COMING ...."
(not already ongoing because perpetual -- but only coming, in the future!).

So you lost yesterday's bet and owe the $500 to charity.


> > Such an event is commonly referred to as "doom".
>
> Using your definition, a shrunken human population equals doom.

No, a voluntarily reduced reproductive rate below 2.1 (replacement rate) is
NOT doom.  (Note that the native repro rate in developed countries already
is way below 2.1!)

Masses of humans getting killed IS doom.  And THAT is what you predict
with certainty -- no matter how you label it.  And that's what the cave-men
are demanding.  (You posted a website that demands the goal of 100 million
people IIRC.)


> As I already stated, I think fewer people suffering in the future is not
> doom, but rather a positive in my value schema.

Progress can also achieve "fewer people suffering in the future" -- even
if there are MORE people --, but without committing crimes, and faster.


> A sterility virus would
> produce less suffering in the future, and that is my ethic. BTW, mumps
> made many men sterile in the past, including one of my brothers.

You'd have to actively spread mumps or even develop a bioweapon...
Involuntary sterilization is genocide and has been used by the Nazis.


> Mr Ruess, I stated that selection would continue, with changing rates
> over time, including an upswing. I put no timetable on it. Does the word
> "coming" have a date?

You have to hurry, because the environment is being used up as we speak,
and the population curve is still going up exponentially.  You have to
"select" much faster than they procreate, for a net reduction of billions
within 1-2 decades (for comparison: the Holocaust was 6 million in 6 years
-- i.e. you'll have to be more effective by a factor of ca. 500).

It would be faster and ethical to remove Predators from power and develop
sustainable technology, instead of waiting for the 4 horsemen (or helping
them) to commit extremely vast and ugly crimes.

Did I say develop?  The 1-Liter car has already been built in 2002 (by VW).
But the Predators are now pushing SUVs that guzzle 15-25 Liters per 100km
on hundreds of millions of Chinese bicyclists!

Now THAT would be something where those "philanthropist" billionaires should
jump in -- build the 1-Liter car in large numbers and outcompete the SUV
pushers!  (or even develop even less-consuming electrical cars)
Instead, the billionaires are cashing in on the SUV profits!


> > Is it so hard to stand by your words?
>
> My words have been defined by me. I will not stand by your definitions.

You bend your definitions beyond making sense -- killing/sterilizing
humans by man-made criteria is murder/genocide, not natural selection.


> >   Is it worth losing face for $500?
>
> I give thousands yearly to envorinmental and population NGOs. (incl
> Audubon, a US bird advocate)

Great!  Then it's certainly no problem to send $500 to the charity I mentioned.


> Then you repeatedly use the word "doom." Where have I used that?

A (forced) population reduction by several billion people is doom, no matter
how you label it.


> The whole "profit" idea from population reduction is yours, but I see it
> in reverse. I already explained that capital wants *growing markets*
> (increased demand) and *oversupplies of labor* to suppress wages.
> But you just ignore that, or have no logical rebuttal.

I have already addressed this:  They cull the *UNprofitable* masses --
those who are uninteresting for the market (too little purchasing power)
and for the labor market (unskilled, too old, too high wage demands) anyway!
What remains is rich consumers and cheap strong slaves (mainly in Asia).

Could this be the "selection" that you're talking about?

Predators want *profits*:
Wars --> profits from arms trade, "security", resource theft, reconstruction.
Diseases --> profits from Big Pharma
Famines  --> profits from "Free" Trade

Being the clever capitalists that they are, they even make a killing off the
killing.

The markets in the West are already over-saturated, there's no place for
growth in consumer items anymore, there are too many unemployed (outcasts)
and malcontents demanding too much, whereas the cheap slaves are in Asia.
So the Predators dump America and Europe (de-industrialization, "crisis"),
suck them dry (cf. Greece, Germany, California etc.) and move on to
China and India --> *growing markets* and *oversupplies of labor*!

And after they've trashed the global environment, perhaps they'll cull all
"the rest of us", so they have the last pieces of ecosphere for themselves...

Chris



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