Keith,

In four or five years' time, if not before then, the average Greek will be
scratching his head in wonder that his country ever entered the Eurozone in
the first place.

 

Me

 

Maybe by that time they will be in the Yuan zone.



 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: Friday, November 04, 2011 5:30 AM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, , EDUCATION
Subject: [Futurework] Grecian wonder

 

I can see no hope for Greece now. Even if Mr Papandreou manages to form a
Coalition government later today and get a vote of confidence, I cannot see
how  the majority of Greek people are going to accept many more years of
even more austerity than they have already suffered.

It's no use saying that the Eurozone has been pampering them for many years
and they must now buckle down and get used to reality. When it comes to
human emotions, there are no absolutes. It's all relativity.  As Krushchev
once said when he'd retired from being the President of Russia: "It's easy
to govern starving peasants. But once they have food in their bellies then
it's another matter." Two years ago, most Greeks had already gained as high
a standard of life as most Germans, French, Italians, etc. It's already
declined, and even this part-way step has produced a country that's barely
governable.

Any more attempts at austerity, then daily riots and national strikes every
few weeks will produce a revolutionary situation. Or, rather, not so much
revolutionary (because there is no conceivable alternative in sight) but
total breakdown. At an intuitive level that ordinary Greeks probably
understand, even though they can't articulate, they know they face a choice
of more austerity for at least 10 years in the Eurozone or yet even more
austerity for a only a couple of years or so if it, like Argentina in 2000,
it decides to default. In the latter case, it could leave the Eurozone,
restore the drachma, and regain the self-respect and cultural independence
which the bureaucrats of Brussels took away from them years ago.

I can see no other immediate future for Greece, even if it has to have a
draconian government -- maybe even with military backing -- for a few years.
China will help. It is already building massive port facilities at Piraeus
and won't want to see these held up. Furthermore, Greece could immediately
start offering wonderful holidays to tens of millions of the Chinese
middle-class whom the Chinese government is already encouraging to spend
more. In four or five years' time, if not before then, the average Greek
will be scratching his head in wonder that his country ever entered the
Eurozone in the first place.

Keith




Keith Hudson, Saltford, England http://allisstatus.wordpress.com/2011/10/
  

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