www.debka.com  is back after a break with some interesting and intriguing
stories.  True or not they trace out different scenarios.

arthur

-----Original Message-----
From: Keith Hudson [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Sent: Monday, September 02, 2002 2:19 PM
To: Karen Watters Cole
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Walking on eggshells


Karen,

At 07:28 02/09/02 -0700, you wrote:
>Keith, below is an excerpt from this morning's NYT discussing more of what
>the BBC interview suggested.  From my readings this past month and
listening
>to Round 1 of the Senate hearings on the subject (Round 2 expected after
the
>holiday) the fear in some quarters is that if the primary push becomes
>inspections and nothing is found to incriminate SH of hoarding WMD, then he
>will be vindicated, the sanctions lifted and the US has no legal or PR
>capital to use for military action.

M'mm . . . interesting . . . but a flawed argument. The inspectors are
bound to find something.

The experts are probably right in saying that Saddam Hussein is not
developing nuclear weapons because this would require industrial-type
installations which would be hard to disguise from satellite surveillance.
The slightest hint of any of these would have brought Israeli bombers
screaming in already. After all, they put paid to Iraq's first and only
nuclear reactor almost before the concrete had set.

But it's highly likely that Iraq has some biological and chemical weapon
research going on -- along with at least 20 or 30 other countries around
the world. After all, such research is relatively cheap -- a very big
theoretical bang for your buck. So, if UN inspectors went in with full
powers of inspection then they'd undoubtedly find enough evidence to
convince the world that Saddam Hussein was actually plotting something.  

Keith
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Keith Hudson,6 Upper Camden Place, Bath BA1 5HX, England
Tel:01225 312622/444881; Fax:01225 447727; E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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