Re
"RWL: Ken is speaking here to Stephen Salter's grazing land estimate of
5E15 m2, which (I agree) seems to be a factor of 100 too large (because
there are 100 ha in a sq km??)"
And
(Ken)" Therefore, we will need about 1.2 * 10^14 m2 or the same order of
magnitude as all of the land in the world."

Let's get the notation straight (and I might be wrong as it is sometime
since I was instructed)
But YeX means Y times 10 raised to the power of X  (OK??**)
So, for example 1.4e2 means 140
Using "^" to mean "raised to the power of"
Then there are 1e4 m^2 per Ha (and 1e2Ha per Km^2  hence 1e6 m^2 per Km^2 )
[[ which seems OK given that K means 1^3 and 1^3 x 1^3 = 1^6 ]]

It is tiresome that GigaHectares (GHa), or billions of Hectares, which are
usually used in working with global land areas, embody the 1e4 factor of Ha
relative to m^2, but that's how it is
Giga means 1e9 so a GHa is 1e13 m^2
According to Wiki  global land area is 148,940,000 Km^2 = 14,894,000,000 Ha
or ~15 Gha = 1.5e14 m^2

So grazing and pasture broadly interpreted as about one third of that is
5e13 m^2
Looks as though Ken is out by a factor of 10 and Lovell Ward quoted by
Stephen by 100

I strongly recommend GHa since, as there are only 15 of them, a mental
reality check is not too difficult

Re Ken's : "Normal ecosystem efficiencies are typically around 0.5 %. If we
assume average sunlight at ground at 200 W/ m2, we get 1 W/m2 ecosystem
rates of producing reduced carbon."

Net global terrestrial fixation of ~60GtC/yr. = ~ 120Gt dry biomass/yr  =
~1800 EJ/yr at 15GJ/t dry biomass = 1.8e21(J/yr)/3e7(seconds/yr)=0.6e14W.
0.6e14W/1.5e14m^2 = 0.4W/m^2 = 0.2 per cent of 200.  As I said before,
nature doesn't do very well

Normal management of eucalypt forestry in well watered tropical regions gets
25 dry biomass tons/Ha /yr or 400GJ/Ha yr (I believe 80 dry tons/Ha-yr is
the record with a bit of TLC at research establishments in Brazil).
400e9J/ha-yr)/(1e4m^2/Ha*3e7 seconds/yr) = ~1.3W/m^2
(Not 0.4 --  as I said before, nature doesn't do very well).  With a bit of 
learning by doing we can likely get it up to 2W/m^2

2Gha*400GJ/Ha-yr = 800EJ/yr cf global commercial energy demand of about
500EJ/yr
Which 2GHa?.  Well Len Ornstein has given us 1.6GHa of irrigated desert
(maybe use the spare 300 EJ to pump the desalinated water up)
Maybe pump salt water up and let evaporation do the trick as suggested 
recently, then recuperating some of the energy as the brine flows back to 
sea level
And there's that 5Gha of grassland though I guess some of that is
near-desert and we mustn't double count

Yes Ken, these things look pretty stupendous.  But facing up to dealing with 
excess CO2 in the cheapest way available (growing trees, and later running a 
biofuel economy) makes one realize how silly it is to try to fix the problem 
by costly emissions reductions.  Remember, Ornstein's desalination and 
irrigation , stupendous though it seems, is cheaper than CCS (though I'm 
sure CCS has an important role to play).  Putting 330Gt C into the 
atmosphere-ocean over the last 2 centuries has left us with a stupendous 
problem

Simon
re "- Peter, in discussing the numbers you said of agricultural wastes "If
the lot were pyrolyzed" which strikes me as a pretty big if. "
Yes of course.  I was merely showing that there is a lot of it about even 
before we start growing more. I would like to see it put into a biodigester 
to extract methane for on the farm/village scale use, then some residue 
pyrolyzed for char and more energy and then mixed with the rest of the 
digester residue to put back on the land. But no doubt others will have 
better ideas - more research, but that does not mean delaying doing good for 
want of knowing how to do best

Peter

PS  **Beginning to feel a bit nervous about all this I again resort to Wiki
to
find
""Most calculators and many computer programs present very large and very
small results in scientific notation. Because superscripted exponents like
10^7 cannot always be conveniently represented on computers, typewriters and
calculators, an alternative format is often used: the letter E or e
represents times ten raised to the power, thus replacing the x 10n. ""
OK??


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Ron Larson" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Cc: "Stephen Salter" <[email protected]>; "Manu Sharma"
<[email protected]>; "Peter Read" <[email protected]>;
<[email protected]>; "geoengineering" <[email protected]>;
<[email protected]>; <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 28, 2009 5:37 PM
Subject: Re: [geo] Re: Grass root answer to Ken's question

[[snipped - PR]]


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