Now, how about some contrasting and comparison comments for CDR (carbon  
dioxide removal)?
 
Ernie Rogers
 
 
In a message dated 2/20/2010 9:44:33 A.M. Mountain Standard Time,  
[email protected] writes:

All:

Stephen, this transfer function is for tropospheric  spraying, yes? The 
strato cases are not nearly so predictable. I'd expect  the tropo sprays 
don't propagate far, anyway.

National legislation  to protect geo experiments from lawsuits is 
crucial. As David says,  international treaties will help, but I'd 
estimate they will take far  longer, and delay is our enemy. I'd be 
happy with the Arctic Council  defending their experiments, as they have 
clout and  standing.

Gregory Benford

-----Original Message-----
From:  David Schnare <[email protected]>
Cc: geoengineering  <[email protected]>
Sent: Sat, Feb 20, 2010 7:56  am
Subject: Re: [geo] SRM geoengineering: how to deal with the  losers?

Pete:

My sense is that who will be a winner or  loser is an unknowable 
unknown.  While I agree with Professor Salter  that we could take a stab 
at it, and indeed others on this list have made  some preliminary 
attempts to look at precipitation issues, the sad reality  is that 
models are dreadfully inadequate for regional analyses and greater  
computing power will not be enough to make them much more  useful.

In the absence of quality information, humankind has used  a best guess, 
iterative approach, achieved through international  treaty.  My 
suspicion is that will be what will have to happen here  to address 
winners and losers.  I am concerned, however, that such an  approach 
will not work if potential "losers" demand stipulated  reparations. 

Schnare


On Sat, Feb 20, 2010 at  9:38 AM, p.j.irvine 
<[email protected]> wrote:
It is  likely that any SRM geoengineering intervention will create
winners and  losers and some nations may always be against any
intervention  whatsoever.

Gregory Benford raised the issue of reaching agreement on  the global
scale and how problematic it would be. If for example the  arctic
council of nations agreed to initiate a decade-long field trial  to
cool the arctic by 1 C, how could they deal with complaints  from
nations who felt that this experiment had induced a negative change  in
their climate?

In any given year there are floods, droughts,  heatwaves, etc. but
during this field trial a fraction of these events  would be attributed
(rightly or wrongly, partially or fully) to the  intervention. Two
questions arise:

Could it be determined if any  changes in the climate (outside of the
target area) had occurred as a  result of the intervention during a 10
year trial?

How would  aggrieved nations or peoples seek reparations for perceived
negative  impacts (scientifically proven or otherwise)?


best  regards,

Pete Irvine
PhD student
School of Geographical  Sciences
University of Bristol

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David  W. Schnare
Center for Environmental Stewardship

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