Dear Stephen,

Of course ignorance of the potential consequences is a reason for not messing with the climate system. If you mean laboratory or computer research, that is not a problem. But you propose sailing ships around injecting salt into clouds. This is before there is any international agreement on the acceptable scale of such tinkering. And how can you do informed consent for the entire planet? What will you do about protesters who are sure this is the development of military technology for the regional control of weather?

You were at Asilomar. Didn't you hear about all these issues? Didn't you come away from there with a realization that we are very far from a situation where such in situ experimentation would be acceptable?

And read Jim Fleming's book /Fixing the Sky/. Learn about all the historical precedents filled with charlatans, a Nobel Prize winner who thinks he is so smart he can step into my field and does not realize how ignorant he is, and military men who want to use weather and climate control as a weapon. How can you just ignore all this?


Alan

Alan Robock, Professor II (Distinguished Professor)
  Editor, Reviews of Geophysics
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On 9/26/2010 10:59 AM, Stephen Salter wrote:
Hi All

It is good to have the correct attributions to wise statements but the main point of my reply to James was the attempt to get comments and help for small experiments which he had said could not be done. It is odd to say that our ignorance of a subject is a justification for NOT doing research on it.

Stephen
Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
Institute for Energy Systems
School of Engineering
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University of Edinburgh EH9  3JL
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On 25/09/2010 22:17, James R. Fleming wrote:
Colleagues:

Stephen Salter wrote: /Ken has pointed out that we are already carrying out an dangerous planetary test which we do not understand. Lowell says that we started it thousands of years ago./

I believe the proper attribution for these ideas are not Caldeira and Wood but a combination of Glbert Plass and Roger Revelle and Hans Suess for the first and William Ruddiman for the second.

    "If at the end of this century, measurements show that the carbon
    dioxide content of the atmosphere has risen appreciably and at
    the same time the temperature has continued to rise throughout
    the world, it will be firmly established that carbon dioxide is
    an important factor in causing climatic change" -- Gilbert Plass
    (1956).

    "Human beings are now carrying out a large scale geophysical
    experiment of a kind that could not have happened in the past nor
    be reproduced in the future.  Within a few centuries we are
    returning to the atmosphere and oceans the concentrated organic
    carbon stored in sedimentary rocks over hundreds of millions of
    years.  This experiment, if adequately documented, may yield a
    far-reaching insight into the processes determining weather and
    climate" -- REvelle and Suess (1957).

    "The hypothesis (Ruddiman, 2003
    <http://courses.eas.ualberta.ca/eas457/Ruddiman2003.pdf>
    <http://courses.eas.ualberta.ca/eas457/Ruddiman2003.pdf%3E>) that
    early agriculture caused large enough emissions of greenhouse
    gases millennia ago to offset a natural climatic cooling remains
    controversial" -- Ruddiman.


Also, there is no doubt that clouds can be brightened (by ships tracks, etc.), but is this a climate test? Do you know that in 1947 Kathleen Blodget at General Electric told Irving Langmiur that intervening in a cloud was something much different than "controlling the weather?" Seems to have fallen on Langmuir's deaf ears.

Jim Fleming --
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