It is almost 20 years since I was a professor of ophthalmology in the
ophthalmology department at UMDNJ. Many different research topics came under
‘ophthalmology’. My research was on rabbit corneas. Others worked on
retinas. The point is that many disparate sorts of activities were linked
under ophthalmology. Ophthalmology was not a closely linked program and no
one argued that it was. But there were all kinds of programs in the same
department without a problem. I think there is a natural relationship
between people trying to understand natural and manmade factors in climate
and those trying to do something about it. However, there is some natural
cleavage with respect to climate science and geoengineering; so what is the
best way to organize depends on the people.* My instinct is to go it alone. 

 

* I don’t think we should generalize how we should organize on related
topics. When I was a graduate student in physics at MIT we worked closely
with the EE department and one of the EE professors was a reader on my
thesis. Different departments for related topics worked too. However, there
is a physics society and an Institute of electrical and electronic
engineering.

 

From: kcalde...@gmail.com [mailto:kcalde...@gmail.com] On Behalf Of Ken
Caldeira
Sent: Sunday, August 07, 2011 6:24 PM
To: euggor...@comcast.net
Cc: gorm...@waitrose.com; natcurr...@gmail.com; geoengineering
Subject: Re: [geo] Re: My AGU abstract: We Don¹t Need a ³Geoengineering²
Research Program

 

Responding mostly to Nathan Currier's comments:

1.  I do not think it is helpful to research programs to link together very
disparate sorts of activities and try to give the appearance that they
represent a closely integrated program.  So, regardless perception, I do not
think "a geoengineering research program" makes much sense.

2. While there is a blurring of boundaries, we can divide research and
development activities into "research" and "development". 

It is healthy for research to be distributed across the research
establishment (universities, national labs, etc) for a number of reasons,
including: (a) much of the research is of a disciplinary nature, and best
done by disciplinary experts, (b) bureaucracies, once created, have their
own survival and expansion as their overriding imperative, thus there will
be political pressure to obtain positive results that can justify larger
budgets, (c) part of the goal of research is to poke holes in ideas and
think up new ideas and these goals are aided by a bit of anarchy. For
out-of-the-box thinking and for evaluative functions, however, there is much
to be said for a distributed approach.

3. In recommending a distributed approach to research, I am not recommending
an "under the radar" approach, in that all of these funding decisions will
require congressional action if they are going to be of meaningful scale.
While the research needs some inter-agency coordination, I don't think the
research requires significant new bureaucracy or new institutions. 

4. There is a political strategy here as well. By emphasizing the
distributed nature of the research, and the use of existing research
institutions, I would like as many research institutions as possible to see
researching the more promising options as an opportunity rather than a
threat.

5. Development efforts do require close coordination, and if society has
come to the decision that we would like to develop a deployment capability
for some technology, then it makes sense to have a development program
centered on that technology (or approach). For example, may make sense to
have a "reforestation program" or a "stratospheric aerosol dispersal
program" but it is hard for to me to imagine why anyone would want a single
program spanning these two activities. So, I am for development programs if
and when a decision is made to develop a deployable system.

6. If there is to be an overarching coordination of relevant research
activities, it could be under the rubric "climate change risk management" or
something like that, and could encompass emissions reduction, SRM, CDR, and
adaptation. I could also imagine a sensible program organized around
addressing specific risks (methane degassing, multiple simultaneous crop
failures, rapid sea level rise, etc), which would then take into
consideration the full spectrum of approaches to diminishing risks
associated with these "failure modes".




Best,

Ken

___________________________________________________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 <tel:%2B1%20650%20704%207212>
kcalde...@carnegie.stanford.edu 
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira



On Sun, Aug 7, 2011 at 9:42 AM, Eugene Gordon <euggor...@comcast.net> wrote:

I agree that little is known and disagree that widespread public acceptance
is needed. Public acceptance is not the issue. The public in general does
not have the intellect or attention span to understand the issue of global
warming except what they see in scare movies. Geoengineering is even more
over their heads and one finds little lay discussion of geoengineering other
than in specialty blogs. I count 2 lay articles in the NY Times during the
last 10 years. I have seen several TV programs on geoengineering on
specialty channels. The entire issue is political, economic, business
opportunity, and scientific. For example my wife now understands solar cells
because we see them all over the landscape here in NJ, but otherwise could
care less.

-gene


-----Original Message-----
From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com

[mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of John Gorman
Sent: Sunday, August 07, 2011 3:45 AM
To: natcurr...@gmail.com; geoengineering
Subject: Re: [geo] Re: My AGU abstract: We Don¹t Need a ³Geoengineering²

Research Program

I strongly agree with everything in this-and in Mike McCrackens post and
attachment of 04.18 on 5th Aug

One thing that you academics in the field may not be aware of.      At least

99% of well educated professional people have never heard the word
geoengineering. I cant think of a single case in the last year or two, where

I have mentioned my interest to some social group, where anyone had
previously heard of geonegineering or such possibilities.

Wide public knowledge doesnt exist and as Nathan said "In the end,
geoengineering could/should never get deployed unless there is widespread
acceptance."

john gorman



----- Original Message -----
From: "Nathan Currier" <natcurr...@gmail.com>
To: "geoengineering" <geoengineering@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Sunday, August 07, 2011 3:39 AM
Subject: [geo] Re: My AGU abstract: We Don¹t Need a ³Geoengineering²
Research Program


Hi Ken,

It seems your inspiration in this is largely a defensive one. In
essence you’re suggesting that organized objection to geoengineering
will be too great an impediment, and that if there’s this pejorative
connotation that’s grown around “geoengineering,” then let’s get the
needed research done under the radar and get around geoengineering
adversaries through different add-ons to established research
programs, etc. Perhaps that should be one track, sure, but not the
only one.

In the end, geoengineering could/should never get deployed unless
there is widespread acceptance. If the very word has become so
stigmatized that one is afraid to deal with it publicly, how can one
proceed? Clearly, there needs to be broad change in its image.
Another response to the current situation could be to try to push back
against the
geoengineer-demonizers and attempt, say, to start a media campaign to
help the image of geoengineering, and to get broader comprehension of
the facts. Sure, image campaigns can take huge sums of money, but
without having any money to speak of at all, the anti-geoengineering
folks are getting quite far with their message – because they are
really the only ones putting out a message meant for the general
public. There need to be some pro-geoengineering advocay groups out
there. Right now, if you google geoengineering, you get
“geoengineeringwatch.com” right near the top, just after Wikipedia.
It’s absurd. Perhaps the new website Michael’s been talking about
should be  “Geoengineering.com” and be a simple first step in this
direction,  a site devoted to debunking the demonizers’ hyperbolic
nonsense, to helping public understanding of climate engineering,  and
to putting forth a well-balanced description of it, its real risks,
etc.  It could be one very inexpensive way of starting to correct that
situation.....

In some cases, when need be, it also might be better to simply accept
having both enemies and supporters, then to avoid having enemies by
existing only in the shadows. And I also think in your title, the
biggest open question is the “need” part. The real question is how
fast one needs to develop things now. Let me give an example: a few
months ago I was having an exchange with Dennis Bushnell, chief
scientist at NASA Langley. I felt he wasn’t taking good account of
aerosol negative forcings in something he said, and he shot back,
“This is what you do about aerosols,” and sent me a proposal that they
have drawn up at Langley for what wouldl be the largest and most
advanced chamber for cloud/aerosol studies (maybe I should post it
here?.....). Anyhow, my first thought was – wow, that’s just what’s
needed for those who want to develop aerosol SRM. But then, my second
thought: wait, there is no thought at all of getting such a thing
operational in less than a decade, minimum. And it’s hard to imagine
anyone pushing for expediting it, unless perhaps you could convince
the right people of the need of the geoengineering implications of it.
So, what if things progress very rapidly in the arctic, and there's
nothing ready to deal with it?

Lastly, if there were no organized objections to have to fight
against, I bet that you would agree that a program devoted to
geoengineering research could possibly expedite greatly getting the
minimal answers you’ll need to just those problems you’ll face in
getting a functional program up and running soon (indeed, many things
discussed on this list, like approaches to combining Latham's idea w/
aerosol SRM, go quite against what you're saying here, and demand a
unified approach to research, it seems to me). I didn’t enjoy the
exchanges about the Manhattan project, and this is August 6th, so I
won’t go there, but to take a different example - the lunar missions -
it’s a little like Buckminster Fuller’s talking about a “critical
path.” That critical path demanded lots of feeding back on itself.
It’s fine to have separate bits of research done on aerosol size
issues, various aerosol/aerosol interactions or whatever, but as
Stuart Kaufmann has said, “Idea space is infinite,” so you can get
lots of valid and even relevant information without getting the needed
job done, which really only comes about when you are constantly
getting your hands dirty, revising the very questions that you ask
yourself, and keeping looking back at the big picture, always geared
towards your goal.......

cheers, Nathan




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