Congratulations to LU on finding a journal with an impact factor so proportionate to his paper's merits : *International Journal of Modern Physics B*: *Vol.* *0*, No. 0 92013)
On Thursday, May 30, 2013 12:25:18 PM UTC-4, andrewjlockley wrote: > > Poster's note : if this is real, it will create quite a fuss. Some humble > pie will be eaten, but I'm not sure by whom. > > http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0217979213500732 > > Q.-B. LU, Int. J. Mod. Phys. B DOI: 10.1142/S0217979213500732 > > COSMIC-RAY-DRIVEN REACTION AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF HALOGENATED MOLECULES: > CULPRITS FOR ATMOSPHERIC OZONE DEPLETION AND GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE > > Q.-B. LUDepartment of Physics and Astronomy and Departments of Biology and > Chemistry, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, CanadaReceived: 15 > October 2012Revised: 27 February 2013Accepted: 12 March 2013Published: 30 > May 2013This study is focused on the effects of cosmic rays (solar > activity) and halogen-containing molecules (mainly chlorofluorocarbons — > CFCs) on atmospheric ozone depletion and global climate change. Brief > reviews are first given on the cosmic-ray-driven electron-induced-reaction > (CRE) theory forO3 depletion and the warming theory of halogenated > molecules for climate change. Then natural and anthropogenic contributions > to these phenomena are examined in detail and separated well through > in-depth statistical analyses of comprehensive measured datasets of > quantities, including cosmic rays (CRs), total solar irradiance, sunspot > number, halogenated gases (CFCs, CCl4 and HCFCs), CO2, total O3, lower > stratospheric temperatures and global surface temperatures. > For O3 depletion, it is shown that an analytical equation derived from the > CRE theory reproduces well 11-year cyclic variations of both polar O3 loss > and stratospheric cooling, and new statistical analyses of the CRE equation > with observed data of total O3 and stratospheric temperature give high > linear correlation coefficients ≥ 0.92. After the removal of the CR effect, > a pronounced recovery by 20~25% of the Antarctic O3 hole is found, while no > recovery of O3 loss in mid-latitudes has been observed. These results show > both the correctness and dominance of the CRE mechanism and the success of > the Montreal Protocol. For global climate change, in-depth analyses of the > observed data clearly show that the solar effect and human-made halogenated > gases played the dominant role in Earth's climate change prior to and after > 1970, respectively. Remarkably, a statistical analysis gives a nearly zero > correlation coefficient (R = -0.05) between corrected global surface > temperature data by removing the solar effect and CO2 concentration during > 1850–1970. In striking contrast, a nearly perfect linear correlation with > coefficients as high as 0.96–0.97 is found between corrected or uncorrected > global surface temperature and total amount of stratospheric halogenated > gases during 1970–2012. Furthermore, a new theoretical calculation on the > greenhouse effect of halogenated gases shows that they (mainly CFCs) could > alone result in the global surface temperature rise of ~0.6°C in 1970–2002. > These results provide solid evidence that recent global warming was indeed > caused by the greenhouse effect of anthropogenic halogenated gases. Thus, a > slow reversal of global temperature to the 1950 value is predicted for > coming 5~7 decades. It is also expected that the global sea level will > continue to rise in coming 1~2 decades until the effect of the global > temperature recovery dominates over that of the polar O3hole recovery; > after that, both will drop concurrently. All the observed, analytical and > theoretical results presented lead to a convincing conclusion that both the > CRE mechanism and the CFC-warming mechanism not only provide new > fundamental understandings of the O3 hole and global climate change but > have superior predictive capabilities, compared with the conventional > models. > > Keywords: Cosmic rays; chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs); ozone depletion; ozone > hole; global warming; global cooling > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.
