With all due respect Dr. Tuck, the earlier cosmic ray hypothesis was not a
Theory but a hypothesis and if comprehensively debunked who will voucher for
the validity of the debunking and on what basis? is not a recent hypothesis to
be reviewed and also debunked comprehensively or perhaps elevated to Theory by
virtue of credible experiments? Have we forgotten how science works to produce
truth in the form of a Theory based on experiments that give credible
confirmation of the hypothesis?
Science should not be compromised by opinion; although opinion may start the
process of finding truth!
Eugene Gordon
----- Original Message -----
From: "Dr. Adrian Tuck" < dr . adrian .tuck@ sciencespectrum .co. uk >
To: "Andrew Lockley " < andrew . lockley @ gmail .com>
Cc: "geoengineering" <geoengineering@ googlegroups .com>
Sent: Thursday, May 30, 2013 5:06:28 PM
Subject: Re: [ geo ] COSMIC-RAY-DRIVEN REACTION AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF
HALOGENATED MOLECULES: CULPRITS FOR ATMOSPHERIC OZONE DEPLETION AND GLOBAL
CLIMATE CHANGE : International Journal of Modern Physics B: Vol. 0, No. 0
(World Scientific)
This theory of cosmic rays causing the ozone hole was comprehensively debunked
11 years ago, see below.
1.
Title: Comment on "Effects of cosmic rays on atmospheric chlorofluorocarbon
dissociation and ozone depletion"
Author(s): Harris, NRP ; Farman , JC ; Fahey , DW
Source: PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS Volume: 89 Issue: 21 Article Number: 219801 DOI
: 10.1103/ PhysRevLett .89.219801 Published: NOV 18 2002 Adrian Tuck
On 30 May 2013 17:25, Andrew Lockley < andrew . lockley @ gmail .com > wrote:
Poster's note : if this is real, it will create quite a fuss. Some humble pie
will be eaten, but I'm not sure by whom.
http :// www . worldscientific .com/ doi /abs/10.1142/S0217979213500732
Q.-B. LU, Int. J. Mod. Phys. B DOI : 10.1142/S0217979213500732
COSMIC-RAY-DRIVEN REACTION AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT OF HALOGENATED MOLECULES:
CULPRITS FOR ATMOSPHERIC OZONE DEPLETION AND GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
Q.-B. LUDepartment of Physics and Astronomy and Departments of Biology and
Chemistry, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, CanadaReceived : 15
October 2012Revised: 27 February 2013Accepted: 12 March 2013Published: 30 May
2013This study is focused on the effects of cosmic rays (solar activity) and
halogen-containing molecules (mainly chlorofluorocarbons — CFCs ) on
atmospheric ozone depletion and global climate change. Brief reviews are first
given on the cosmic-ray-driven electron-induced-reaction ( CRE ) theory forO3
depletion and the warming theory of halogenated molecules for climate change.
Then natural and anthropogenic contributions to these phenomena are examined in
detail and separated well through in-depth statistical analyses of
comprehensive measured datasets of quantities, including cosmic rays ( CRs ),
total solar irradiance , sunspot number, halogenated gases ( CFCs , CCl4 and
HCFCs ), CO2, total O3, lower stratospheric temperatures and global surface
temperatures. For O3 depletion, it is shown that an analytical equation derived
from the CRE theory reproduces well 11-year cyclic variations of both polar O3
loss and stratospheric cooling, and new statistical analyses of the CRE
equation with observed data of total O3 and stratospheric temperature give high
linear correlation coefficients ≥ 0.92. After the removal of the CR effect, a
pronounced recovery by 20~25% of the Antarctic O3 hole is found, while no
recovery of O3 loss in mid-latitudes has been observed. These results show both
the correctness and dominance of the CRE mechanism and the success of the
Montreal Protocol. For global climate change, in-depth analyses of the observed
data clearly show that the solar effect and human-made halogenated gases played
the dominant role in Earth's climate change prior to and after 1970,
respectively. Remarkably, a statistical analysis gives a nearly zero
correlation coefficient (R = -0.05) between corrected global surface
temperature data by removing the solar effect and CO2 concentration during
1850–1970. In striking contrast, a nearly perfect linear correlation with
coefficients as high as 0.96–0.97 is found between corrected or uncorrected
global surface temperature and total amount of stratospheric halogenated gases
during 1970–2012. Furthermore, a new theoretical calculation on the greenhouse
effect of halogenated gases shows that they (mainly CFCs ) could alone result
in the global surface temperature rise of ~0.6°C in 1970–2002. These results
provide solid evidence that recent global warming was indeed caused by the
greenhouse effect of anthropogenic halogenated gases. Thus, a slow reversal of
global temperature to the 1950 value is predicted for coming 5~7 decades. It is
also expected that the global sea level will continue to rise in coming 1~2
decades until the effect of the global temperature recovery dominates over that
of the polar O3hole recovery; after that, both will drop concurrently. All the
observed, analytical and theoretical results presented lead to a convincing
conclusion that both the CRE mechanism and the CFC-warming mechanism not only
provide new fundamental understandings of the O3 hole and global climate change
but have superior predictive capabilities, compared with the conventional
models.
Keywords: Cosmic rays; chlorofluorocarbons ( CFCs ); ozone depletion; ozone
hole; global warming; global cooling
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***************************************************
'ATMOSPHERIC TURBULENCE: A Molecular Dynamics Perspective' .
Oxford University Press, 2008. ISBN 978-0-19-923653-4.
http :// www . oup .com/ uk / catalogue /? ci =9780199236534
***************************************************
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