Just a personal opinion, but one that's been brewing for a while.  I
am definitely NOT writing this in my capacity as list moderator!

I'm concerned that governance and social policy research is not always
entirely what it seems.  My suspicion is that it's potentially a
delaying tactic.  This work is advocated by funders and politicians to
avoid grasping the nettle of seemingly-odious experimentation.  I'm
not saying that anyone who works in the field is acting in bad faith,
but there's a risk that social/governance work is supported because
there's a need to 'do something' about geoengineering, but not
actually to do anything that would possibly upset anyone.  The risk is
that such lily-livered prevarication stops us learning crucial lessons
about the science - lessons which would help us better answer the
governance questions (which we delay the science in order to seek
answers to).

To make genuine, effective policy decisions, we need accurate
information about the science and engineering.  Governance research in
a 'fact-vacuum' achieves little.  Governance decision-making without
the friction of urgency lacks realism.  The problem with the
'governance first' approach is that it leads to bad, ill-informed
governance - 'govern-nonsense'.  To do good governance, we need a
'science first' approach, which strives to provide complete and
accurate information to policy makers. This simply can't be done
dependably without experimentation. With the exception of some small
ocean iron fertilisation trials, there have been no
officially-sanctioned outdoor experiments on geoengineering.  As a
result, we have wasted years of progress into deployment technology,
aerosol physics etc.

The problem with the current timidity is two-fold.  Firstly, we don't
have full factual information about the technologies.  Secondly, we
have an artificial sense that decisions about deployment are far into
the future.  As a result, we don't have the heated and crucial
discussions about deployment, which are actually what governance IS.
Both of these elements are the true feedstock of a proper governance
process, and both are held up by a lack of experimentation and
technological development - which is in turn held up by the very
governance research which is ostensibly aiming to assist the process.
It's like an evil chicken and egg scenario.

There seems to be both an explicit and implicit view that more
'governance' is needed before any 'offensive' outdoor research can be
done.  This can be interpreted as governance of the research agenda,
and of eventual deployment.   But the result is still the same - we
delay and delay, whilst sailing closer and closer towards the
waterfall.
 My personal view is that we are wasting valuable time.  We need to
sweep aside the social policy work and get on with the science,
without obsessively worrying about the consequences.  Do we delay
physics at CERN, because someone may in future develop a Higgs-field
death ray?  No.  Do we insist on social policy research before
developing Google Glass?  No.  There are many other fields where
governance is equally 'required' as it is in geoengineering - and it
is absent.  We are not being asked to research governance in these
fields because people do not fear research on them.  Governance is
still required, but it is not conducted at present, because there is
nothing anyone wishes to delay.

We must recognise and resist what is happening.  When we're implored
to delay science to research or establish governance, we need to ask a
simple question: 'is the benefit of delay worth the risks of delay'.
We could wait another 5 years before doing the first test flights, or
launching the first ships.  We would have a lot more papers on
governance, and yet we would really be no further along in the
governance process.  We'd have another 5 years of climate change under
our belts, with all the effects, both reversible and irreversible,
that go with it.

I think the true governance work has a clear start date.  It's when we
have a shiny aerosol plane sitting on the runway, full tested and
ready to deploy - with its performance well studied.  Only when the
engineering team asks the question 'Do you want us to fly this thing
tomorrow, in ten years, or never?' will governance discussions start
with the information and urgency needed to do the job properly.  Anyth
such discussion beforehand is just govern-nonsense.

Any comments?

A

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