Hi All,

I'm new to this list, but I find Andrew's comment provocative and 
interesting. I share Andrew's frustration but also feel for people insulted 
by Andrew's impatience with the pace of discussion. 

I would point to the recent evolution of private manned space flight as a 
case study. One could imagine the years of discussions that could going 
into drafting the rules governing private manned space programs and space 
ports--indeed, they've been simmering in the background for several 
decades. However, it was amazing how quickly all that fell into place once 
SpaceX had a vehicle ready to launch. Soon, an absurd number of local 
municipalities throughout the southwest US were struggling to license and 
build "spaceports" as fast as possible. The overall narrative is relevant 
for geoengineering.

I agree with Andrew's assessment that little serious progress, or at least 
rapid breakthroughs, will be made in the governance of geoengineering until 
someone commits to building serious hardware. It will take a private 
benefactor, ambitious cooperation, or the leader of a major country to 
stand up and say, "OK, we're building this." Only then will real discussion 
occur and decisions have to be made. I appreciate the role of policy pieces 
in orientating that discussion and paving the road for this to happen. 
However, the way this usually works is that someone invents and builds a 
brand new piece of controversial new technology, and once introduced, we 
struggle to come up with regulations for it. While the scale of 
geoengineering is vastly different, I anticipate the narrative will be 
largely the same.

I think we're waiting for the breakthrough moment when someone decides to 
move ahead. Maybe Andrew and I are longing for the good ole' days in 1859 
Pennsylvania when you could just drill the world's first commercial oil 
well--no environmental analysis required. We survived that, didn't we?

Cheers,

Steve Romaniello

Research Scientist
School of Earth Space Exploration
Arizona State University

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