Poster's note : Whoops. This would be funny if it wasn't so tragic.

http://ns.umich.edu/new/releases/22668-a-closer-look-at-the-flawed-studies-behind-policies-used-to-promote-low-carbon-biofuels

A closer look at the flawed studies behind policies used to promote
'low-carbon' biofuels

Feb 05, 2015

Nearly all of the studies used to promote biofuels as climate-friendly
alternatives to petroleum fuels are flawed and need to be redone, according
to a University of Michigan researcher who reviewed more than 100 papers
published over more than two decades.

Once the erroneous methodology is corrected, the results will likely show
that policies used to promote biofuels—such as the U.S. Renewable Fuel
Standard and California's Low-Carbon Fuel Standard—actually make matters
worse when it comes to limiting net emissions of climate-warming carbon
dioxide gas.

The main problem with existing studies is that they fail to correctly
account for the carbon dioxide absorbed from the atmosphere when corn,
soybeans and sugarcane are grown to make biofuels, said John DeCicco, a
research professor at U-M's Energy Institute.

"Almost all of the fields used to produce biofuels were already being used
to produce crops for food, so there is no significant increase in the
amount of carbon dioxide being removed from the atmosphere. Therefore,
there's no climate benefit," said DeCicco, the author of an advanced review
of the topic in the current issue of Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews:
Energy and Environment.

"The real challenge is to develop ways of removing carbon dioxide at faster
rates and larger scales than is accomplished by established agricultural
and forestry activities. By focusing more on increasing net carbon dioxide
uptake, we can shape more effective climate policies that counterbalance
emissions from the combustion of gasoline and other liquid fuels."

In his article, DeCicco examines the four main approaches that have been
used to evaluate the carbon dioxide impacts of liquid transportation fuels,
both petroleum-based fuels and plant-based biofuels. His prime focus is
"carbon footprinting," a type of lifecycle analysis proposed in the late
1980s as a way to evaluate the total emissions of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases associated with the production and use of transportation
fuels.

Numerous fuel-related carbon footprinting analyses have been published
since that time and have led to widespread disagreement over the results.

Even so, these methods were advocated by environmental groups and were
subsequently mandated by Congress as part of the 2007 federal energy bill's
provisions to promote biofuels through the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard.
Shortly thereafter, parallel efforts in California led to that state's
adoption of its Low-Carbon Fuel Standard based on the carbon footprinting
model.

In his analysis, DeCicco shows that these carbon footprint comparisons fail
to properly reflect the dynamics of the terrestrial carbon cycle,
miscounting carbon dioxide uptake during plant growth. That process occurs
on all productive lands, whether or not the land is harvested for biofuel,
he said.

"These modeling errors help explain why the results of such studies have
remained in dispute for so long," DeCicco said. "The disagreements have
been especially sharp when comparing biofuels, such as ethanol and
biodiesel, to conventional fuels such as gasoline and diesel derived from
petroleum."

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