Is 26k less good than 25?

On Tue, 17 Dec 2019, 08:37 Govindasamy Bala, <[email protected]> wrote:

> Andrew,
>
> Sedimentation effect works in the same direction as the effect we
> identified in our study. Therefore, higher the altitude of injection, the
> better. My judgement: 25 km would be good.
>
> On Mon, Dec 16, 2019 at 8:54 PM Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> So what's your judgement on the ideal injection altitude?
>>
>> Andrew
>>
>> On Mon, 16 Dec 2019, 10:36 Govindasamy Bala, <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Andrew,
>>> Many modeling groups (e.g. Tilmes and others) have already performed
>>> simulations that inject aerosols at different heights and thus have
>>> included the sedimentation effects and many many other effects. These
>>> studies simulate the NET effects and hence hard to interpret and quantify
>>> the individual effects. The strength of our ESD paper is that it changes
>>> only one variable and identifies its individual contribution to the total
>>> problem.
>>>
>>> What we have learnt during the course is that there are too many
>>> variables in the aerosol SRM problem (transport, location of injection,
>>> aerosol-cloud interaction, aerosol-radiation interaction, aerosol micro
>>> physics and the resulting size distribution of the aerosols, etc.) and the
>>> resulting uncertainties could be too large. This is of course known to many
>>> of us for a long time......
>>>
>>> On Mon, Dec 16, 2019 at 3:41 PM Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>> If I understand from the email below , you used aerosols with no fall
>>>> speed. Are experiments planned to simulate aerosol descent?
>>>>
>>>> Andrew
>>>>
>>>> On Mon, 16 Dec 2019, 05:43 Govindasamy Bala, <[email protected]>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Andrews,
>>>>>
>>>>> We did not do experiments with aerosols above 22 km. It is likely that
>>>>> the cooling effect will be larger when aerosols are at 25 km. Beyond that
>>>>> it is likely that the additional cooling benefits disappear. We need more
>>>>> experiments to confirm this.
>>>>>
>>>>> The sensitivity to height in our paper arises mainly because of the
>>>>> increases in stratospheric water vapor (which partly offsets the cooling
>>>>> efficiency of the aerosols) that is associated with the stratospheric
>>>>> heating by the aerosols. This increase in stratospheric water vapor is
>>>>> largest when the aerosols (and the heating) is close to the tropopause.
>>>>>
>>>>> In our paper, we have isolated the effect of just one factor. As Doug
>>>>> has pointed out, the sedimentation effect would also lead to more cooling
>>>>> if aerosols are injected at higher altitudes...
>>>>>
>>>>> Best,
>>>>> Bala
>>>>>
>>>>> On Sun, Dec 15, 2019 at 9:05 PM Douglas MacMartin <[email protected]>
>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> This is a great study to understand the effectiveness per unit mass **in
>>>>>> the stratosphere**.  Also keep in mind that there’s an additional
>>>>>> factor, that at lower altitudes it takes higher injection rates to 
>>>>>> achieve
>>>>>> the same burden in the stratosphere (i.e., lower lifetime at lower 
>>>>>> injected
>>>>>> altitude).
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> If the only thing you cared about was cost, then since there are
>>>>>> existing studies demonstrating that you can design an aircraft to get to
>>>>>> ~20-21km, we roughly know that it could be done, but higher altitude
>>>>>> injection means less total sulfur injected and hence smaller side 
>>>>>> effects,
>>>>>> and should be better understood both on the modeling and implementation
>>>>>> cost as the trade may well be worth it.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> doug
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> *From:* [email protected] <
>>>>>> [email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Govindasamy Bala
>>>>>> *Sent:* Saturday, December 14, 2019 9:38 PM
>>>>>> *To:* Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>
>>>>>> *Cc:* geoengineering <[email protected]>
>>>>>> *Subject:* Re: [geo] Climate system response to stratospheric
>>>>>> sulfate aerosols: sensitivity to altitude of aerosol layer
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Dear Andrew,
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Thanks for the posting. The heights studied were 16, 19 and 22 km,
>>>>>> height that are relevant to solar radiation modification problem.. The
>>>>>> final paragraph in the paper is worth reading to get more quantitative
>>>>>> information from this modeling study.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> "To summarize, for the same mass, the efficiency (defined
>>>>>>
>>>>>> as changes in surface temperature per Tg S) of volcanic
>>>>>> aerosol is less when it is prescribed at lower altitudes in the
>>>>>> stratosphere (Fig. 9). For example, in our simulations, there is
>>>>>> a surface cooling of 0.44K for each teragram of sulfur placed
>>>>>> in the stratosphere at about 16 km altitude (100 hPa). There
>>>>>> is an additional surface cooling of 0.15K per Tg S when the
>>>>>> prescribed altitude is increased from about 16 km to about
>>>>>> 22 km (37 hPa)."
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Sat, Dec 14, 2019 at 12:55 AM Andrew Lockley <
>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Poster's note : this has significant implications for the engineering
>>>>>> of delivery systems. I can't do the pressure altitude conversion in my
>>>>>> head, but it's a lot higher than what's generally been planned for. We're
>>>>>> gonna need a bigger boat.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/10/885/2019/
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Climate system response to stratospheric sulfate aerosols:
>>>>>> sensitivity to altitude of aerosol layer
>>>>>>
>>>>>> *Krishna-Pillai Sukumara-Pillai Krishnamohan et al. *Received: 01
>>>>>> May 2019 – Discussion started: 23 May 2019 – Revised: 24 Oct
>>>>>> 2019 – Accepted: 08 Nov 2019 – Published: 13 Dec 2019
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Abstract
>>>>>>
>>>>>> top <https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/10/885/2019/#top>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Reduction of surface temperatures of the planet by injecting sulfate
>>>>>> aerosols in the stratosphere has been suggested as an option to reduce 
>>>>>> the
>>>>>> amount of human-induced climate warming. Several previous studies have
>>>>>> shown that for a specified amount of injection, aerosols injected at a
>>>>>> higher altitude in the stratosphere would produce more cooling because
>>>>>> aerosol sedimentation would take longer. In this study, we isolate and
>>>>>> assess the sensitivity of stratospheric aerosol radiative forcing and the
>>>>>> resulting climate change to the altitude of the aerosol layer. We study
>>>>>> this by prescribing a specified amount of sulfate aerosols, of a size
>>>>>> typical of what is produced by volcanoes, distributed uniformly at
>>>>>> different levels in the stratosphere. We find that stratospheric sulfate
>>>>>> aerosols are more effective in cooling climate when they reside higher in
>>>>>> the stratosphere. We explain this sensitivity in terms of effective
>>>>>> radiative forcing: volcanic aerosols heat the stratospheric layers where
>>>>>> they reside, altering stratospheric water vapor content, tropospheric
>>>>>> stability, and clouds, and consequently the effective radiative forcing. 
>>>>>> We
>>>>>> show that the magnitude of the effective radiative forcing is larger when
>>>>>> aerosols are prescribed at higher altitudes and the differences in
>>>>>> radiative forcing due to fast adjustment processes can account for a
>>>>>> substantial part of the dependence of the amount of cooling on aerosol
>>>>>> altitude. These altitude effects would be additional to dependences on
>>>>>> aerosol microphysics, transport, and sedimentation, which are outside the
>>>>>> scope of this study. The cooling effectiveness of stratospheric sulfate
>>>>>> aerosols likely increases with the altitude of the aerosol layer both
>>>>>> because aerosols higher in the stratosphere have larger effective 
>>>>>> radiative
>>>>>> forcing and because they have higher stratospheric residence time; these
>>>>>> two effects are likely to be of comparable importance.
>>>>>>
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>>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/CAJ3C-04wbNfg0E3q_8GtwXay88n_2r%2BhzYfVfrNPjq9SpJd9pg%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>>>> .
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> --
>>>>>>
>>>>>> With Best Wishes,
>>>>>>
>>>>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>>> G. Bala
>>>>>> Professor
>>>>>> Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
>>>>>> Indian Institute of Science
>>>>>> Bangalore - 560 012
>>>>>> India
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Tel: +91 80 2293 3428; +91 80 2293 2505
>>>>>> Fax: +91 80 2360 0865; +91 80 2293 3425
>>>>>> Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
>>>>>> Web:http://dccc.iisc.ac.in/dr_govindasamy_bala_profile.html
>>>>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> --
>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
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>>>>>> send an email to [email protected].
>>>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit
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>>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/CAD7fhV%3Dc5Q4XVod8rAide3VNOmN1uyPbp6B6TCRKij474F_Meg%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>>>> .
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> --
>>>>> With Best Wishes,
>>>>>
>>>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>> G. Bala
>>>>> Professor
>>>>> Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
>>>>> Indian Institute of Science
>>>>> Bangalore - 560 012
>>>>> India
>>>>>
>>>>> Tel: +91 80 2293 3428; +91 80 2293 2505
>>>>> Fax: +91 80 2360 0865; +91 80 2293 3425
>>>>> Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
>>>>> Web:http://dccc.iisc.ac.in/dr_govindasamy_bala_profile.html
>>>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> With Best Wishes,
>>>
>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>> G. Bala
>>> Professor
>>> Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
>>> Indian Institute of Science
>>> Bangalore - 560 012
>>> India
>>>
>>> Tel: +91 80 2293 3428; +91 80 2293 2505
>>> Fax: +91 80 2360 0865; +91 80 2293 3425
>>> Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
>>> Web:http://dccc.iisc.ac.in/dr_govindasamy_bala_profile.html
>>> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>>>
>>>
>
> --
> With Best Wishes,
>
> -------------------------------------------------------------------
> G. Bala
> Professor
> Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
> Indian Institute of Science
> Bangalore - 560 012
> India
>
> Tel: +91 80 2293 3428; +91 80 2293 2505
> Fax: +91 80 2360 0865; +91 80 2293 3425
> Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
> Web:http://dccc.iisc.ac.in/dr_govindasamy_bala_profile.html
> -------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>

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