Dear GKD Colleagues,

It is not surprising that international corporations are interested in
India given that between 300 and 500 million Indians spent more than
US$30billion in 2002 and a DSP-Merrill Lynch report says that household
spending will be $500 billion by 2008, with spending going up even
faster than the economy which, at 7% per year, is growing much faster
than the West <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/EH22Df01.html>
and <http://www.emergic.org/archives/indi/006260.php>. A market research
company here in India ranks us fifth out of 30 emerging retail markets
around the world. An example is the 2 million new mobile phone
connections per month and mobile phones are catching on even in large
villages that are near cities. The demographics work great too. In the
next couple of years, we will have 250 million people in their twenties
and thirties, all getting married, having kids and buying homes and all
the stuff that goes with it. Imagine a market as big as the United
States with the whole population in their twenties and thirties.

Electronics companies have discovered the India market. Nokia is one of
the ones that figured out how to work in this market and they sold $2
billion worth of cell phones and equipment last year
<http://www.brainbox.com.au/brainbox/home.nsf/0/members/brainbox/home.nsf/$
all/9E46656B37CEF26549256EC80038A480?opendocument>. But it is not easy
for foreign companies to be successful here. International companies
have to change the way they operate if they want to work here. One thing
they have to learn is that everything is on a different scale. You sell
a lot of units at low prices. Do not think you will sell 10 packs of CDs
even if the cost per unit is lower. We buy tiny quantities compared to
Americans or even Europeans. So you need to find ways to sell things
cheaply, like prepaid cell phone cards that cost just a few dollars. But
cheap does not always win either. Products have to be reliable and
fashionable. Samsung is successful at selling expensive phones because
they have made their phones a fashion statement here. And we Indians
love new gadgets.

Two things are going to help companies make products for the poor. One
is that more and more IT companies are opening research branches here in
India, like Cadence, Analog Devices, Intel and lots of others. The
other thing is that more youngsters want to work for themselves. Not so
long ago anyone who had a high school or college degree wanted to work
for the government or some big company. Now many young people are going
for setting up their own companies. They design high end wireless chips
or new kinds of software. I think that this combination of research
outfits and young entrepreneurs will make it easier for IT companies to
understand and build for the poorer communities where the majority of
the population still is. If companies set these young engineers to
figuring out new products and services for the poor they could come up
with some great products. I did hear that Hewlett-Packard opened an
'idea bazaar' in Bangalore that invites programmers and product
developers to get together to talk about new ideas for mobile phones. I
have not seen it myself but it is a great example to other companies.

I read a blog from an American who says he outsources his own job; he
hired someone in India to do his programming, pays about 1/5 of his
salary, spends a couple of hours a day reviewing the code, and the rest
goes in his pocket. His boss thinks he's telecommuting. I do not know if
this is true but it would be possible and if it became a trend the boom
here will grow even more.

This all is good for India but perhaps it does not answer the question
of the Moderator, how does this make things better for the poor right
now. I believe most or all the market demand I described is from the
middle class and that is a huge market. But companies here will grow,
there will be more jobs and people's salaries will go up (people who
work in call centers or data input centers make 15 times the average
salary). I think that will help the poor and will have more impact than
all the foundations or community nonprofits can have, even though it
will take some time. If the nonprofits and government get new young
entrepreneurs to work on products for the poor, then things will go even
faster. The companies can make a profit and the poor will benefit.


P. Gopinath



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