Eli Rabett wrote:
> Real Climate recently started an open forum that has no structure.  As
> a result, even for the first 100 messages, it is very hard to follow.
> I just made the suggestion over there, that given the overlap of
> participants it might make more sense to move the forum over here and
> call this RealClimate Forum

While it is an interesting idea, I would be surprised to see it happen.
 Since the beginning, RealClimate has had a top-down structure (i.e.
selected experts talking to the masses), with the broader public given
the ability to comment but little control over the topics presented.
Though one might think of a "forum" as more free form, it is clear from
the description of "RC Forum"
(http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2006/07/introducing-rc-forum/)
that the approach is still top-down, but that the targeted content is
more likely to be shorter, selected news items.

A email group like this, or a true online forum, treats users much more
equally, (mostly) without centralized control over the topics of
discussion.  In other words, any one can start a thread, any one can
comment, and discussion occurs on a mostly level playing field.  Both
approaches have value.  RealClimate's blog based approach keeps their
signal to noise very high and ensures consistent credibility, but it is
consequently quite limited as a forum for broader community discussion.

What you suggest Eli, is one way that RealClimate could foster broader
discussion, but I think it is a much different beast than the existing
"RC Forum".  It would be interesting if the group at RealClimate were
willing to share their credibility with a system that they didn't
directly control.  Another approach is that RC could expand their site
to include more traditional forum software (vBulletin, phpBB, SMF).

The problem with any open approach will be controlling signal to noise.
 The unmoderated sci.environment is largely impossible because of all
the ranting.  So far this forum is still small, and largely one sided,
so it has stayed pretty clean, but what happens if some dedicated
advocates from the other side (say the Competitive Enterprise
Institute) decide they want to push their point of view?  Keeping the
discussions useful and moderation fair suddenly becomes a lot harder
(not impossible though).

I've thought about adding forums to my own website
(http://www.globalwarmingart.com/).  At a technical level it would be
easy to do.  At a social level, I don't think I really have the clout
to recruit effective volunteer moderators to keep the discussions
useful.  RealClimate is perhaps unique among well trafficked climate
change sites, in that they probably do have enough clout to establish
not only a large public discussion forum but also ensure it is
maintained and managed well.  However, they would almost certainly have
to share the management of such a forum (be it email group, or online
bulletin board) with others outside their core group of climate
scientists, which from the RC perspective could be seen as a risky
proposition.  If the forum degenerates into ranting then it is a strike
against their credibility.  If instead it is tightly controlled, to the
point of perceived bias, then it is arguably an even bigger blow
against their credibility.

I suspect that it is easier for them to keep venues such as this as
unofficial outlets for RC climate discussion.  As you know, they
already link to this group, and there is considerable overlap in the
participating communities, so it can already serve much the same
purpose as an official RC email group, without their risking any
credibility in the process.

Of course, the folks over at RC might still surprise me.  I have no
doubt that a large, well-known, and effective discussion forum could be
a valuable addition for communicating climate science.  The only
question is how does one create such an animal?  Maybe this group will
grow into such a beast, but if so, it still has a lot of growing to do.

-Robert A. Rohde
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/


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