Eli Rabett wrote: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > > > Not unless you assume that calling it "implausible" means "implausible at > > > the time". He may just mean that in light of the new findings since 2000, > > > the 2001 IPCC conclusion about sea level is now implausible. > > > > You'd have to ask him what he exactly means, but I don't read it that > > way. I think he fundamentally disagrees with the IPCC consensus on ice > > sheet dynamics, though he readily condedes that that isn't his core > > area of expertise. > > > > While I've only read the draft of the latest IPCC report (as have you), > > I don't think there'll be a material change in the IPCC estimates for > > sea level change in the 2007 version. > > That is exactly true, and as you point out Hansen has been saying it > for a long time. I had a comment on this in my blog in May. James > Titus, for one, worries seriously that Hansen may be correct. > > http://users.rcn.com/jtitus/Captain_Sea_Level/The_Captains_Links.html > > The most recent paper on the subject by Jim Hansen. The Captain's > candidate for the next Nobel Prize awarded for climate change research. > Although he helped EPA get started in assessing the consequences of sea > level rise in 1983, he moved on to other issues. But twenty years later > he came back to this issue, with a provocative essay in Climatic Change > warning that greenhouse gases may put polar glaciers on a "slippery > slope to Hell." The Captain uses these analyses to consider worse-case > scenarios. (This looks like an impermanent link so if it moves, search > for "slippery slope", James Hansen, and "sea level rise". ) > > If you don't know who James Titus is you have not been worrying about > sea level rise and how to deal with it very long.
Here is a presentation which pretty well captures what Hansen is saying. It ain't pretty. http://www.columbia.edu/%7Ejeh1/threattalk_complete_05Sept2006.pdf --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
