Michael's basic argument makes sense. But, it is worth asking what
this year's cereal grain production would have been without, say, the
drought in Australia. In other words, should we be comparing grain
production to an old baseline or to "business as usual". Production is
increasing because of technology (genetics + industrialization of
agriculture) and the increase in croplands in S America. Maybe climate
limited that increase in the past year. The evidence from the US is
that grain yields have not just increased, but have become more
volatile, in part because of climate -

Either way, the enormous increase in the demand for meat has to be a
major factor here:

http://simondonner.blogspot.com/2008/01/greenhouse-gases-meat-consumption-and.html

Simon



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