Phil Hays wrote:
I'd like to hear where you (or these un-named climate scientists) break
with the consensus.
Do you think that energy is conserved?
Do you think that CO2's spectrum has been measured incorrectly?
Or is there something wrong in the physics of radiation?
Or in the accounting of human added CO2 in the atmosphere?
Or ... what?
It's "what."
The problem is not climate denialists against climate alarmists.
The problem is that non-linear, chaotic complex adaptive systems are
being analyzed and interpreted as linear systems.
The linear interpretation says, "If you push something hard enough,
it will fall over."
The non-linear, chaotic complex adaptive system replies, "If you
push something hard enough, it may fall over, or it may fall toward you,
or it may sprout wings and fly away, or it may sit there and politely
ignore you."
Complex adaptive systems are unpredictable. Therefore linear
mathematical models can never predict complex adaptive systems reactions
to specific input. The further down the timeline one attempts
predictions, the farther off they will be.
We can't predict glacier melting 200 years downstream because we
can't know if present trends will continue. We could be just as easily
in the next glacial advance in 200 years. After all, it WILL start
sometime. From the look of past patterns, glacial advance follow abrupt
warming, then cooling.
Who can say?
Hayduke
Hayduke Blogs
http://hayduke2000.blogspot.com/
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