> With the caveat that any new competition that enters the market would
trigger a renewed round of privacy for any future improvements. Rather
like establishing and publishing a checkpoint.

Who's going to enter a market that they know they'll be thrown out of ?  The 
VCs wouldn't
think of supporting such a company.  And PSI has already burnt around ten times 
what UMX or
Fundamental burnt.  "Eating shoe leather" (not my expression) is what they 
_haven't_ been
doing.  At the end of a working day, 3/4s of Fundamental's staff go home in the 
same car.
Look at PSI's run rate, even without the lawyers. Rebuilding Amdahl with the 
air conditioning
but without the revenue.

IBM has pretty much replaced its architecture in the first couple of years of 
each decade -
System/370, XA, ESA, zArchitecture.  Very roughly once per decade.  Next one 
due after z6 -
2012?. Memory sharing with Intel IA64 processors?

It took the old PCMs _years_ to get established.  More recently look at how 
long it took
Fundamental - and they were using IBM's hardware and IBM's VAR chain. Seven 
years?  Does NOT
happen overnight.

Hell, even working COMPLETELY within IBM, it took nearly a year to get xSeries 
430 EFS Ts&Cs
agreed.

4.5 years now to run to zFuture?  If z/Architecture were completely released 
now, PSI _might_
have a 30 month window.  And that's assuming they can execute - I don't see 
that from their
company structure, which I strongly suspect was built around the idea of doing 
an IPO/sale and
leaving the sales/marketing to others.

The loss of HP was a total disaster for PSI.  HP is on every street corner in 
Europe - NEC has
_nothing_ _like_ the dealer or support structure.  It's pretty close to one 
office per
country.  PSI can't, like Fundamental did, use IBM's dealer chain - which adds 
to the
complexity because it will need to use them to dispose of the hardware it 
displaces and also
supply ancilliaries.  Putting together a reseller chain in Europe would be 
several times as
difficult as doing the same for Fundamental - not least because the number of 
target sites has
halved, as had the number of potential partners.

Plus the Intel processors will be unknowns for performance purposes.  Things 
got a whole lot
easier for Fundamental once I persuaded its partners to use xSeries platforms.

The EU case changes a few things.  I don't think there's a doctrine of unclean 
hands in EU
law.

The trade secrets business might just evaporate.  I know several Amdahlers who 
said they were
hacked off at having to sign TIDA/TILA because they'd reverse engineered most 
of it anyway.
If PSI is right and you just have to know where to look (source for Hercules, 
source for
z/Linux,etc.) then it's not an issue.

There is no secrecy regarding patents - the whole point is to publish the 
discovery so you can
claim it. Reading patents, of course, is dangerous and most lawyers recommend 
against it.

Closing roads to keep them private?  Yup - common in the UK.  There's at least 
one road
locally that levies a toll of 1p per person passing on Maundy Thursday.

-- 
  Phil Payne
  http://www.isham-research.co.uk
  +44 7833 654 800

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