We're very, very close to having 255 (or more) z CPUs. Here in Japan we
have customers (plural) each running hundreds of IFLs. And that's only
their IFLs. If they could stuff them all into one frame, they would.
Someday I imagine they will.

Let's extrapolate. The z900 shipped at year end 2000. I don't quite
remember day one exactly, but at least at some point the z900 could have up
to 16 characterizable z CPUs per frame. By early 2008 you could buy a
single System z10 EC with 64 characterizable z CPUs. That's a 4-fold
increase in only 7-point-something years. (And that actually undercalls it.
The z10 EC has more SAPs and spares. It's arguably more like a 5-fold
increase, but let's just stick with 4-fold for this illustration.)

If we merely assume that trend continues linearly, we would see a 256 PU
machine in late 2015 or so, only a little over six years from now. In
system engineering terms that's no time at all. Add a little error factor
and it's still not very far away.

My personal opinions only, of course. I have no particular inside knowledge
on this.

- - - - -
Timothy Sipples
IBM Consulting Enterprise Software Architect
Based in Tokyo, Serving IBM Japan / Asia-Pacific
E-Mail: [email protected]
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