>From a recent Merrill Lynch report on BEA:

> In most companies the legions of Cobol, 4GL, VB developers, and
> corporate developers significantly outnumber the hardcore Java
> programming rocket scientists.

(I'm holding out for "brain surgeon" :-) FWIW their analyst really
likes WebLogic Workshop:

> a tool that can drive widespread developer adoption, becoming almost
> like a fungus spreading throughout a company.

but not JBoss:

> We don't believe the hype when it comes to the potential threat of
> commoditization by an open source J2EE product such as the JBoss
> group. Open source is interesting but its impact on the application
> infrastructure platform market is much smaller than most have
> speculated.
<snip>
> We would agree that for some very basic development and testing
> activities, an open source J2EE market will exist but it will likely
> not reach much more than mid single digit market penetration.
<snip>
> The JBoss group has done a tremendous job at garnering a lot of
> attention around its "poaching" of BEA and IBM customers. During our
> field checks we have found many of those claims to be somewhat
> exaggerated and the impact to be much smaller than hyped. We are
> finding many examples where customers are migrating from JBoss to
> BEA. The primary reason for these migrations are due to customers
> outgrowing the JBoss capabilities and finding they need to take
> advantage of services such as clustering, fail-over, and even the
> portal and integration components. In many instances the support and
> maintainability issues are also becoming a problem.


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